156 thoughts on “Journal During the Trump Regime (7)”
Hard to believe that @FoxNews is wasting airtime on Mayor Pete, as Chris Wallace likes to call him. Fox is moving more and more to the losing (wrong) side in covering the Dems. They got dumped from the Democrats boring debates, and they just want in. They forgot the people…..
….who got them there. Chris Wallace said, “I actually think, whether you like his opinions or not, that Mayor Pete has a lot of substance…fascinating biography.” Gee, he never speaks well of me – I like Mike Wallace better…and Alfred E. Newman will never be President!
Someone said that a lot of books will be written about Trump’s tweets. That sounds right to me. In my view, Trump’s tweets, or words in general, evoke a lot of reactions. Indeed, one common effect is speechlessness–I’m stunned, overwhelmed, and don’t know where to begin. Commenting on one thing suggests this is the most noteworthy or troubling part of the tweet, but that is often not the case. Choosing the most troubling aspect is extremely difficult, because there are often several aspect that are troubling.
Trump’s rhetoric (and actions) also stun me because an intelligent adult would not speak and act this way. Similarly, I do not expect a leader of a liberal democracy to speak and act this way. This huge incongruence fries my brains. His words and actions make sense if he were a 10 year old boy. I would not be stunned and confused if he were a dictator in an autocracy. It is difficult and uncomfortable, even after several years, of understanding Trump in this way. He’s a 70 year old man, the POTUS. It’s hard to believe such a person can speak and act the way he does.
(Note: I erroneously posted this a few days ago in the Journal (5) thread.)
There are many moments where one could justifiably say, “Trump seems to be more unhinged; things are different, etc.” Sometimes when people say this I feel they’re not describing anything new–they’re describing what has been normal for a while. At the same time, I can understand why they would say that. Sometimes one can feel more shock and concern, while not really knowing why this specific incident or moment is more shocking and concerning than many other, previous incidents and moments. That’s how I felt yesterday (and today). Someone made a list of the incidents that occurred yesterday and the day before:
It's been quite the last 48 hours in American politics.
And Democrats — in DC and on the 2020 trail — have a dilemma on their hands: How do they respond?
If you haven’t seen video or read articles of the incidents above, it may not seem as bad. And really, maybe the situation isn’t more dire, maybe Trump isn’t more unhinged than a month or a year ago. But I’m feeling that way. Maybe the threat and concern can’t really have great impact all the time, so it only occurs and different times, triggered by specific events that may not be more significant than previous ones?
Whatever the case may be, I’m feeling a little more worried–the realization that our liberal democracy is slipping; that it is under attack. I think the recent news about Trump giving special authority to investigate the start of the Russia investigation is what worries me the most. For more details on this, here’s a comment from someone who claims to have worked for WH and DOJ. (It was retweeted by someone I trust, Asha Rangappa.)
That’s no ordinary delegation of authority. It’s instead an imperial doling out of executive power to a cabinet member who’s curried the President’s favor by indulging his politicization of law enforcement. And it’s dangerous. (2/2)
I think this alarm bells should be ringing–the press and former officials in government, including the Trump administration, should be doing the ringing.
"The indictments allege, and the other activities in our report describe, efforts to interfere in our political system. They needed to be investigated & understood and that is among the reasons why the Department of Justice established our office." -Former Special Counsel Mueller pic.twitter.com/bLBfQSYehm
— Stand Up Republic (@StandUpRepublic) May 30, 2019
Some comments about this:
1. Put aside the possibility that Russia has compromising material on Trump or that Trump doesn’t want to anger Putin because he wants to do personal business with him. It’s clear to me that Trump can’t put aside his ego. It seems like he can’t separate his electoral victory from Russian interference. That is, to push back against Russia would be equivalent to invalidating his victory. How does this not make him unfit? How is this not a failure in a fundamental duty as POTUS?
2. Mueller’s quote and remarks in general reject the claim that the Russian investigation was a hoax and witch hunt. Either Mueller or Trump is wrong. They both can’t be right.
3. I’m not sure what Trump means by “Russia disappeared” but they’re still a threat, and we should take what they did seriously.
4. “I had nothing to do with Russia helping me get elected” He seems to admit that they did help him here. Was that a slip? Also, he’s right if you don’t think welcoming Russia to release Hillary’s missing emails, meeting with Russian representatives relating to the campaign is equivalent to “nothing to do.”
Evidence that Trump Acts like an Arsonist and Firefighter
The phrase comes from Greg Sargent:
"One of Trump’s signature moves as president is to act as both arsonist and firefighter, taking credit for resolving pseudo-crises that he in fact initiated."
The next sequence of tweets are Juliette Kayyem predicting what was going to happen.
Thread from May 30, 2019 from Juliette Kayyem:
#Mexico Tariff: Folks, Again this is hogwash. There won't be a 5% tariff. In March, he threatened to close the border & everyone was like "OMG he's going to close the border." This is an ineffective leader trying to destroy a reasonable deal to seek attention or distraction 1/
(A hint by the WH that Mexico is working “hard” under Trumps aggressive negotiation style. Followed by — if I have this rodeo right —Trump tweet this weekend saying same.) https://t.co/D8kpVwLb23
I am pleased to inform you that The United States of America has reached a signed agreement with Mexico. The Tariffs scheduled to be implemented by the U.S. on Monday, against Mexico, are hereby indefinitely suspended. Mexico, in turn, has agreed to take strong measures to….
….stem the tide of Migration through Mexico, and to our Southern Border. This is being done to greatly reduce, or eliminate, Illegal Immigration coming from Mexico and into the United States. Details of the agreement will be released shortly by the State Department. Thank you!
Trump is about to impose tariffs on Mexico — then pulls back after a hazy agreement. He’s about to attack Iran — then calls it off at last moment. He announced ICE raids across the country — then postpones for two weeks. It’s constant brinkmanship as governing strategy.
House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) Hearing Today
Some tweets on the hearing:
Hpsci member Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio) said that 2 years ago on the committee, "We were very non-partisan." Then "it changed." And "what's going on right now is we're giving Mr. Putin everything he wants."
Important exchange @RepSeanMaloney and ex-FBI official Douglas
Goes to key part of counterintelligence analysis:
Russian inroads to campaign, including "magic moment" when Manafort shared polling data with Russian spy, designed for leverage on potential incoming admin officials
This kind of disinformation by members of House is getting old, remains an affront to democracy.@RepRatcliffe: "the special counsel's finding that neither Donald Trump or anyone associated with his campaign conspired or colluded."
Counterintelligence findings are still being kept from Congress!@RepAdamSchiff in opening question of hearing: "We have to see those findings" of FBI agents embedded in Mueller team.#MuellerReportHearings#HPSCI
Hpsci Chairman Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) says the Mueller report left critical questions unanswered. Like "what happened to the counterintelligence investigation?" And were other forms of compromise, like money laundering, left out, uninvestigated or referred to other offices?
For me, this is a transparently bad attempt to erode trust in the New York Times (and possibly the mainstream media in general). It’s also possible that this is Trump’s 9 year old MO of lashing out in frustration.
Do you believe that the Failing New York Times just did a story stating that the United States is substantially increasing Cyber Attacks on Russia. This is a virtual act of Treason by a once great paper so desperate for a story, any story, even if bad for our Country…..
…..ALSO, NOT TRUE! Anything goes with our Corrupt News Media today. They will do, or say, whatever it takes, with not even the slightest thought of consequence! These are true cowards and without doubt, THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!
I wonder how many other people think this is a very lame attempt at trying to undermine the paper. Or will Trump’s use of “Failing New York Times” actually cause some to think less of the paper? Will they actually believe the Times has actually revealed top secret cybersecurity maneuvers by the U.S. government? Do people really believe the Times is the enemy of the people?
By the way, a lot of this feels like projection–
“failing,”
“virtual act of treason,”
“desperate for a story any story, even if bad for our Country,”
“anything goes for our CORRUPT,” and
“They will do, or say, whatever it takes, with not even the slightest thought of consequence! These are true cowards and without doubt, THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!”
All of this alludes to Trump himself in my opinion.
Edit
"Officials at the National Security Council … said they had no national security concerns about the details of The New York Times’s reporting about the targeting of the Russian grid.” @SangerNYT@nicoleperlrothhttps://t.co/B69O93DISS
Accusing the press of treason is dangerous. We described the article to the government before publication. As our story notes, President Trump’s own national security officials said there were no concerns. https://t.co/MU020hxwdcpic.twitter.com/4CIfcqKoEl
When a young child tries to distance themselves from a guilty party, they don’t realize that adult they’re speaking to knows this the claim is false (i.e., the child has strong ties to the guilty person). Does this seem like what’s going on with Trump? Anyone loosely following this story knows the claim is false or at least totally ineffective. Trump may indeed not know Sondland really well, but he picked him to be Ambassador to the EU. Not knowing Sondland well doesn’t really provide cover for Trump (and I feel silly for writing this as it seems pretty obvious to me).
Some other techniques that Trump employs:
Call a person saying or doing something damaging to Trump a Democrat or Never Trumper–ignoring the fact that neither is false.
“Do you think the people will demand I stay longer?”
Imagine if Obama said this, even facetiously. GOP would be calling for his head.
…..news is that at the end of 6 years, after America has been made GREAT again and I leave the beautiful White House (do you think the people would demand that I stay longer? KEEP AMERICA GREAT), both of these horrible papers will quickly go out of business & be forever gone!
Trump shows off Marco Rubio and Lindsey Graham, both of whom lost the nomination to him and called him a "con man" in 2016 but are now his allies as he seeks another term.
A professor on authoritarianism, Ruth Ben-Ghiat, seems to think so:
As expert on authoritarianism @ruthbenghiat will tell you – this is NOT a joke by Trump but rather Trump preparing his base to support him in his quest to be President for Life:https://t.co/Jloz0aWqIA
— (((DeanObeidallah))) (@DeanObeidallah) June 21, 2019
I’m not sure, but I’m also not an expert on authoritarians. My reaction, though, is that the video is odd, and inappropriate. Can you imagine Obama or W, Clinton or any POTUS doing something similar? At best, it speaks badly of Trump–his personality, mental well-being, maybe. It suggests significant insecurity, maybe narcissism, and even a lack of a awareness that this is something inappropriate.
I can’t rule out that he’s preparing his followers for staying in power after his term, he’s made at least one other comment publicly before (ostensibly joking).
Trump is the POTUS, representing our country and our country’s interests when he meets Putin. He’s not a businessman or private citizen. There are some things that he should not and need not disclose, but it is the business of the American people to know what the POTUS plans to discuss, generally, with the President of Russia.
I’m very uncomfortable with this type of statement, especially coming from someone in a prominent position:
The gerrymandering and census cases in the Supreme Court show conservative justices helping a desperate GOP hold onto their Republican minority rule. This is why McConnell and the GOP pack the courts, and why dark money paid so much to put Kavanaugh and Gorsuch on SCOTUS.
The statement basically undermines the notion that the SCOTUS acts in a non-partisan way. Maybe this is naive of me to even suggest this, but if the general belief is that the SCOTUS and judicial branch makes decisions based on partisanship, I think that really undermines the legitimacy of the courts. If I were a senator and I decided to air these views, I would have to feel confident that the SCOTUS is totally political, and maybe broken in some significant way.
Why does Trump so desire Putin’s approval? There is something so unnatural, strange, and troubling about his fealty before Putin, especially when he is in Putin’s presence.
Paul Ryan, the failed V.P. candidate & former Speaker of the House, whose record of achievement was atrocious (except during my first two years as President), ultimately became a long running lame duck failure, leaving his Party in the lurch both as a fundraiser & leader……
Yeah Lara, the President also said he didn't like the chant and stopped it quickly.Well Trevor Noah and Usain Bolt detonated that lie. pic.twitter.com/4VNZbE3t2b
Countering this interference requires a whole of government effort…overseen by our leader. That’s not happening. Not countering it poses an existential threat to the US.
This is a good point. He speaks more harshly about Rep. Cummings and other Americans of color than dictators that are actually brutal. I think you could add Kim Jong Un, Duterte, Assad, or the Saudi crown prince killing the journalist. One counter to this is that the POTUS has to be diplomatic with other world leaders. While this is true, other presidents have harshly condemned actions by dictators. Again, my sense is that Trump will criticize Americans, or anyone who is critical of him, more than dictators or individuals who really deserve harsh criticism. He also seems to target people of color.
“Trump is getting a distorted view of the country from what he sees on a right-wing talk show. This content then fuels his racist tendencies and his never-ending campaign continues.”@brianstelter breaks down how the President's attack on Baltimore came after a Fox News segment. pic.twitter.com/4mFcK9pCzC
If there is an alternate, plausible, explanation for this behavior, I’d like to hear it. Even if he’s governing the nation as a reality TV show, that’s not an explanation that dispels the impression that he acts and thinks like a child. This tweet is on the “nanny-nanny-boo-boo” level. It’s also over-the-top horrible to mock a Congressman when his house was robbed.
This headline not only creates a positive impression of Trump which is undeserved on this issue, but it creates the impression that he’s acting like normal, responsible politician. They use the word “urge,” which is much more earnest and genuine sounding than the neutral “calls.” I assume the writer(s) of this headline follows the news closely; I would be surprised if they actually think this characterization is credible. There is far more evidence that Trump actually wants to keep the nation divided than wanting to unify it.
State of alarm about the trade war and the currency war: high. Spent some time tonight with folks who get this stuff, and let’s just say the words ‘Smoot’ ‘Hawley’ and ‘1930s’ were being thrown around.
The tweets also triggered a thought I had today about the way I think people develop an understanding of our politics, particularly those who don’t follow the news closely. My sense is that a lot comes down to heuristics. One sort of obvious example, and it may not even qualify as a heuristic, is a catastrophe to signal that a politician is doing a bad job. I thought of this specifically in relation to Trump. My sense is that many Americans don’t realize how bad he is as a president. One of the few things that could possibly change this is a catastrophic event–e.g., financial crisis or use of a nuclear weapon–especially if one can reasonably draw a line from Trump’s rhetoric or actions to that catastrophe. This is not a good way for people to find out that the POTUS is unfit, though.
Here are more details:
Markets are now suggesting the highest risk of recession since 2011. Only slightly less than half over the next year. The collapse in medium and long term interest rates is ominous.
Beto (phony name to indicate Hispanic heritage) O’Rourke, who is embarrassed by my last visit to the Great State of Texas, where I trounced him, and is now even more embarrassed by polling at 1% in the Democrat Primary, should respect the victims & law enforcement – & be quiet!
One angle on Trump that has been at the forefront of my mind recently: He doesn’t have the capacity to put the country or other people ahead of himself. It’s all about him. He can never be the bigger person. And all of this is manifesting itself in a way that makes him seem like a child. The problem is significant enough that it is one of many things that makes him unfit and incapable of doing the job.
“Now is the time to set destructive partisanship aside, so destructive, and find the courage to answer hatred with unity, devotion, and love.” — A White House Teleprompter, August 5, 2019 https://t.co/qqhZoYTnHo
“Trump offers no moral leadership; he seems to have no interest in unifying the nation; no evidence that the presidency has awakened his conscience in the least.”
“Indeed we have a president with a toxic tongue, who has publicly and unapologetically embraced the political strategy of hate, racism, and division.”
Just want to add that intelligence chiefs have repeatedly mentioned in public that Russia is trying to sow discord and widen divisions in our country. Trump knows this, but he’s still using an approach that aids their efforts. Whatever the reason for him doing this, it seems appropriate to say he’s betraying the country.
8/8/2019
This is a what Trump tweeted as he visited a city that experienced a tragedy. (There’s music on this, too.)
My time spent in Dayton and El Paso with some of the greatest people on earth. Thank you for a job well done! pic.twitter.com/TNVDGhxOpo
Not only evidence for the claim that the “the presidency has awakened his conscience,” but it’s evidence that something is not right with this guy.
edit
Trump during El Paso hospital visit: “That place was packed. … That was some crowd. And we had twice the number outside. And then you had this crazy Beto. Beto had like 400 people in a parking lot, they said his crowd was wonderful.” https://t.co/DuPigUMutR
On several occasions I’ve mentioned the way Trump’s words and actions will leave me stunned and speechless, often because my mind can’t seem to accept reality and the number and layers of problems I have with what I’m hearing. I’ve struggled to articulate this reaction (including right now), but I recently read a few sentences that resonated with me:
A really exceptional work of obscenity, like a really exceptional work of beauty, exceeds the ability of its viewers to fathom what they just saw. Did that just happen? But … how? What sorcery created it? Words don’t arrive, and the stammering gives way to silence.
The latest publicity photograph of the president in El Paso, Texas, knocked me into silence for a good half hour this morning while I tried to figure out the many layers of obscenity on display.
If you… – call non-white migrants "invaders" (also rapists, murderers) – tell Af-Am citizens to "go home" – question whether Af-Am president is a citizen – call a US federal judge "Mexican" …you are a white nationalist. POTUS is one of them.
Whether this makes someone a white nationalist or not, I’m not sure. I am sure that anyone that does the above behaves and speaks like a white nationalist. And if they continue to do so they either are a white nationalist, or they don’t care if anyone thinks that they are.
Also, politicians, pundits, and media outlets that are silent or don’t push back against this are basically enabling white nationalist views.
Thought: What if General Mattis, General McMaster, and Secretary Tillerson hold a press conference saying he’s worried that the President is unstable and thinks he poses a threat to the country.
And then suppose a prominent individual from the administration resigns and holds a press conference saying the same thing.
And then this leads to other people coming out saying the same thing.
In my opinion, this is the kind of thing that could be a game-changer. One, it could really get the attention of the general public, especially those who don’t really follow the news closesly. Two, Republicans on Capitol Hill could finally do something.
In my opinion, one person saying what Scaramucci says is not enough. We need a bunch of them, doing this one after the other, like a cascade or a the breaking of a dam.
It could matter at the Congressional level but it’s not going to matter among his supporters, which is all he cares about. And the Mooch is certainly not the guy to be carrying this flag, sorry as I am to say it.
In addition to having an impact on Congress, I think it could really impact those the casual news consumer. I also don’t think of the Trump supporter as a monolith. The die-hard supporter won’t be affected by this, but I don’t think all of them are die-hard supporters.
I do agree that Mooch is not the best guy. But the guy who initiates the process isn’t as important. It’s the cascade that occurs after that, hopefully. For example, if that happened right after Mattis resigned. (Alas, it did not.)
I kind of thought everyone knew that the point of hanging is the quick snapping of the neck. When I read the headline about broken neck bones, I knew it was suicide.
From what I recall, the problem wasn’t just a broken neck, but the number(?) of bones or the specific ones that seemed unusual for a hanging. (But I’m not sure if those who felt this way had any medical training.)
One of many examples as to why someone would question Trump’s fitness and mental state.
SCOOP: President Trump has suggested multiple times to senior Homeland Security and national security officials that they explore using nuclear bombs to stop hurricanes from hitting the United States. https://t.co/4vidIuiijA
New WaPo: "He also has told worried subordinates that he will pardon them of any potential wrongdoing should they have to break laws to get the barriers built quickly” https://t.co/33vUHXEMOK
I can’t read the article, but if this quote is accurate, the first thought that came to mind: Trump is acting with impunity. He’s confident Senate GOP wouldn’t convict him, and that Dems in the House are reluctant to impeach. Second thought: GOP is just as unfit to govern as Trump.
Promoting his resort for a site for G& summit, using what I assume is the official White House account. One of many things that the right and Fox News would be going bonkers over if Hillary or Obama did something like this.
"@Comey had the President of the United States ask him for loyalty, ask him to drop or quash the investigation of his friend. Comey then was fired under false pretenses based on a memo written by Rod Rosenstein… What was his recourse? To go to Rosenstein?" –@Renato_Mariottipic.twitter.com/7e7NZxK40w
"Comey did not leak classified information. Period. Anything to the contrary, that you're hearing, is a lie. I think there is a broader issue here, what was the FBI director to do when he thinks the President is corrupted and obstructing?" –@FrankFigliuzzi1 on DOJ's findings pic.twitter.com/JK3hdIQ5hQ
No one will be able to say that people weren’t ringing the alarm bells about the danger President Trump posed to the nation and the world, or that he was incredibly unfit to do the job.
As we approach the 18th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks and Donald Trump tweets about some purported botched negotiation with the Taliban, it’s as good a time as any to remind America that he’s incapable of doing the job of president & his reckless impulses make us all less safe.
However, my sense is that the overall coverage of Trump, especially in mainstream press, did not really convey this warning. Unless you read the news regularly, I suspect people may think Trump is a clown, but not completely inept, possibly mentally ill, or someone who thinks and governs like a dictator. But maybe I’m wrong.
But when historians look back on this time, they will definitely find many examples of the tweet above. (The Atlantic has had many articles and even entire issues emphasizing this, I believe.)
This is not the only example. At the same time, it’s seems unreasonable to think he’s serious about running for a third term or has a genuine desire to remain as president after two terms. If he didn’t have a lot of other red flags related to authoritarianism, I would say this is inappropriate, but I don’t think I’d take it seriously.
This is going to sound hyperbolic (and I hope this actually turns out to be the case), but our constitutional system–specifically, the rule of law and separation of powers–seems to be gradually eroding. More specifically, the institutions that suppose to ensure and protect this seem to be eroding, and we’re watching this happen in slow motion.
The thread below made me think of this. The Acting Director of National Intelligence is supposed to inform Congress about a complaints by whistleblowers, but the current acting DNI has not done so in the required time, and without giving explanation. (He is one of many acting directors. This is another sign, as Congress is supposed to confirm the people in these positions; Trump seems to be bypassing Congress’s oversight.)
Another bit of news that made me think of this–DOJ trying to prosecute Andrew McCabe, and some of the unusual circumstances surrounding this. (See below.) What’s crucial is that the President has publicly attacked McCabe, which creates the impression that he’s influencing the DOJ to go after one of his enemies.
It feels like a constitutional crisises happening in several places, moving in slow motion.
Something clearly happened when a grand jury in DC met on Thursday—and that something wasn’t the McCabe indictment that everyone was expecting.
President Donald Trump just can’t stop telling stories about former Defense Secretary James Mattis. This time, the president claims Mattis said U.S. troops were so perilously low on ammunition that it would be better to hold off launching a military operation.
“You know, when I came here, three years ago almost, Gen. Mattis told me, ‘Sir, we’re very low on ammunition,'” Trump recalled on Monday at the White House. “I said, ‘That’s a horrible thing to say.’ I’m not blaming him. I’m not blaming anybody. But that’s what he told me because we were in a position with a certain country, I won’t say which one; we may have had conflict. And he said to me: ‘Sir, if you could, delay it because we’re very low on ammunition.’
“And I said: You know what, general, I never want to hear that again from another general,” Trump continued. “No president should ever, ever hear that statement: ‘We’re low on ammunition.'”
It appears as if General Mattis has prevented Trump from taking military action using a tactic that one would use only on someone who is remarkably unintelligent. The scary thing is that this is believable. I don’t know whether to chuckle, grimace, or worry–probably all three at the same time.
Fmr U.S. Ambassador to Russia Michael @McFaul on the phone call at the center of the "very senior" whistleblower complaint: "it points to either criminal behavior.. or some threat to a key asset to the intelligence community." pic.twitter.com/IWh9jDbhnF— TheBeat w/Ari Melber (@TheBeatWithAri) September 19, 2019
I had to read the NYT story on this very slowly this morning. It felt very carefully written, as if everyone’s stepping gently around something enormous.
It’s stupid to say this in the middle of a presidency where every day brings new things that make you say “this has to be it, right?”
But this could be it. This feels huge to me. In an oh-my-gosh-we-could-all-be-in-trouble-now kind of way. In a someone-might-have-to-go-to-prison kind of way. I’m not saying this with glee. I am now spooked.
The WaPo story later today said sources talk about Ukraine and possible appeals for help with the reelection campaign. That makes me less spooked, if that’s what it is, but it’s no less serious. I’m half-dreading the news over the next week.
I had to read the NYT story on this very slowly this morning. It felt very carefully written, as if everyone’s stepping gently around something enormous….But this could be it. This feels huge to me.
I’ve heard others react this way, and I agree, this sounds significant, and I agree with the reaction on some level. But on another level, I find the reaction odd. Do people think the incident is worse that giving highly classified Israeli intel to the Russians. (I recall that this could have compromised a source as well.)? And what about using an insecure phone?
By the way, David Frum wrote a piece today about this, citing a historical incident that pushed the Founders to include the ability to impeach and remove the Executive in the Constitution. The incident is worth reading about:
Great Britain had been ruled by a king named Charles II. King Charles was the son of Charles I, the king whose head was cut off during the English Civil War. Restored to the throne, Charles II learned to tiptoe carefully around his dangerous subjects. But there was a problem: Charles wanted more money than Parliament willingly offered him. His solution? He reached out to an old friend and patron: the king of France, Louis XIV.
Louis had sheltered Charles during exile. He knew that Charles had converted to Catholicism—a secret that could have cost Charles his throne and possibly his life if his own people had known it. Louis had no parliament of his own to worry about. He paid Charles an annual subsidy to cover Charles’s fiscal shortfall. In return, he asked Charles to hand over a British base on French soil—and to stay neutral in the war Louis was about to launch against the Protestant Netherlands.
These treasons would emerge into daylight after the overthrow of Charles’s brother and the Stuart dynasty in 1688.
The WaPo story later today said sources talk about Ukraine and possible appeals for help with the reelection campaign. That makes me less spooked, if that’s what it is, but it’s no less serious.
Specifically, there’s a sense that Trump administration pressured the Ukranian President to investigate Joe Biden’s son, and that part of this pressure included witholding military aid (?). That’s my understanding, anyway.
I’m curious to know what made you spooked before, and what makes you less spooked now.
Giving away intel, especially another country’s, is super serious but not spookier than actively working against the United States. Neither is looking for dirt on another candidate. I’m not willing to debate this — I’m not downplaying their seriousness. But my mind may have gotten away from me when I pictured what could have been the topic of conversation.
Also, if that’s what it is, I don’t know if it qualifies as “urgent,” as the inspector general says it is. That word “urgent” and the verification by the IG that the whistleblower’s case is legit makes this all sound way more serious to me, a position I’m still standing on.
Plus, a whistleblower case feels like a direct legal action against the officeholder himself and the officeholder’s conduct. Suing to get tax returns is a legal action, but that’s not against the person’s conduct.
It depends on how you define “actively working against the United States.” I could list a lot of things Trump has said and done that I think would qualify. But I think you mean something more explicit–like giving away secrets for financial gain, or something like that? (Then again, I think the chances are very high that he has already done like this, similar to the Charles II example above. At the very least, we can say Trump’s refusal to reveal his tax forms and divest his business makes it almost impossible to verify.)
Plus, a whistleblower case feels like a direct legal action against the officeholder himself and the officeholder’s conduct. Suing to get tax returns is a legal action, but that’s not against the person’s conduct.
You’re saying the whistleblower incident involves Trump being charged or prosecuted for a crime? I don’t get that sense.
"There is no spin, no deflection, no alternate theory of the case that can get around the central fact that President Trump attempted to use his office for his own gain, and that he put…the United States at risk while doing so," argues @RadioFreeTom. https://t.co/Q3CBVOKGqF
In a call to the new president of Ukraine, Trump reportedly attempted to pressure the leader of a sovereign state into conducting an investigation—a witch hunt, one might call it—of a U.S. citizen, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his son Hunter Biden….
If this in itself is not impeachable, then the concept has no meaning. Trump’s grubby commandeering of the presidency’s fearsome and nearly uncheckable powers in foreign policy for his own ends is a gross abuse of power and an affront both to our constitutional order and to the integrity of our elections.
The story may even be worse than we know. If Trump tried to use military aid to Ukraine as leverage, as reporters are now investigating, then he held Ukrainian and American security hostage to his political vendettas. It means nothing to say that no such deal was reached; the important point is that Trump abused his position in the Oval Office.
Nichols ends with this:
…if this kind of dangerous, unhinged hijacking of the powers of the presidency is not enough for either the citizens or their elected leaders to demand Trump’s removal, then we no longer have an accountable executive branch, and we might as well just admit that we have chosen to elect a monarch and be done with the illusion of constitutional order in the United States.
i’m reeeeeeally not in the mood to dissect any of this for degrees of offense or shades of definition, beyond what i’ve just shared. it feels like having to talk about the most painful feelings to uncomfortable extents. actually it doesn’t feel like it — that’s practically what it is. yes. we can all think of blatant things said and done in plain view of the country on broadcast television. i’m okay with not being able to express the specifics of my concern but i assure you i’m not merely waking up now to this person’s dastardly behavior.
but i assure you i’m not merely waking up now to this person’s dastardly behavior.
That was never a question in my mind, for what it’s worth.
ugh. i can’t believe this is our country.
More specifically for me–I can’t believe the Congressional Republicans are allowing all of this. I think this might be the most disturbing part of this whole thing, at least for me.
You said, ” it feels like having to talk about the most painful feelings to uncomfortable extents. actually it doesn’t feel like it — that’s practically what it is. ” I agree with you and it makes me think of this tweet I saw today:
Does anyone else feel like they may actually be going crazy watching what this man is doing to the fabric of our country?
And that he is seemingly getting away with it over and over again?
Like where the fuck are the checks and balances we learned about in school?
The checks and balances don’t work if congressional Republicans don’t want it to work, which is one of the main reasons voters should remove them. I am most shocked, disturbed, and appalled by the congressional Republicans.
I’ve seen several smart people express this sentiment:
Many of us have had faith in you @SpeakerPelosi. You are a smart, strong, stragic woman & politician. But time is up. We are out of patience & trust. The house is about to burn to the ground & you’re in charge of the fire dept. Let’s go. https://t.co/uMcJsz7BsF
I totally understand Rocah’s feelings. Trump behaving the way he is, without any consequences, is really eroding our system of checks and balances and the rule of law. But when I consider the likely end game scenario, impeaching Trump could actually make the situation worse. Here’s my thinking:
1. Suppose Pelosi starts impeaching hearings and House impeaches Trump;
2. The Senate now has to determine if they’re going to acquit or convict and remove him. There’s a possibility that the general public and the Senate would change dramatically, but if not, the Senate would likely acquit Trump;
3. The acquittal could create the impression that Trump really has done nothing to deserve impeachment; it could likely exonerate his behavior. I think this likely would happen to Americans who do not follow the news closely and/or may be confused about who to believe. It’s not an unreasonable conclusion. If Trump really was unfit or did something truly bad, it’s reasonable to assume enough Republicans would remove him;
4. Additionally, impeachment could possibly empower Republicans and Trump politically, leading to increased or the same number of seats in Congress. If this happened, the Republicans would not change–they would continue to put power over principle and the country. This includes undermining key democratic institutions, norms as well as the entire system. If Trump wins a second term, it could also endanger national security.
Of course, there’s no guarantee 3 and 4 will occur. It’s possible that the process of impeachment in the House would really turn the public against Trump, which could turn enough Republicans against Trump. I’m have a hard time imagining something from the impeachment process doing that, given the revelations that should have had that effect already, but didn’t.
So if 3 and 4 are the more likely result, I wonder if people like Rocah would still want Pelosi to proceed with impeachment. I’d like to hear a case for impeachment in spite of 3 and 4.
Write up of Trump’s phone conversation with the Ukranian president.
Thread:
"Whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. … Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so if you can look into it…" https://t.co/g96EjxYrI8pic.twitter.com/SZuZuuOsWn
One important point. My understanding is that if there was “corruption” relating to Joe Biden, there is appropriate (read: non-political, non abuse-of-powers ways) to work with another country to investigate this. When Trump gets more directly involved, it creates impression of…more later
Key point — Trump first spoke to Zelensky on April 21, ten days before Barr couldn’t answer if anyone in WH ever asked him to open an investigation. (h/t @AshaRangappa_ for recalling this Harris/Barr exchange). https://t.co/j5WECnRnm7
He really doesn’t think he did anything wrong. A few thoughts:
1. At the very least, he’s creating the appearance that he’s pressuring a country to produce damaging information about a political opponent. This is why there are these norms and procedures between the POTUS and the DOJ/FBI and other intelligence agencies. An executive who would use any of these agencies to go after political enemies (and/or protect himself) is unfit and poses a serious danger to the republic;
2. Someone pointed out that Trump was withholding money, which I believe would be used for defense, particularly against Russia. This has strategic importance to the U.S. If Russia gets more aggressive that can lead to war, which the U.S. would likely have to get involved in. If accurate, Trump would be putting his political interests ahead of the nation’s.
“Indeed, the Commission has recognized the ‘broad scope’ of the foreign national contribution prohibition and found that even where the value of a good or service ‘may be nominal or difficult to ascertain,’ such contributions are nevertheless banned.” pic.twitter.com/iCHKczPuif
Listen here: “I want to know who’s the person, who’s the person who gave the whistleblower the information? Because that’s close to a spy,” President Trump said. https://t.co/HsUIczrgZRpic.twitter.com/TR2LRY9iN5
18 USC §601 makes it a federal crime to directly or indirectly try to get someone contribute something of value to benefit a political candidate by threatening the denial of any benefit made possible in whole or in part by an Act of Congress.
Trump really doesn’t think what he said in the call was wrong.
Trump says he’s considering reading the transcript of his call with the Ukrainian president as “a fireside chat on live television,” per this interview with @DavidMDrucker and @robcrillyhttps://t.co/0ZUjz2k2sj
Very little should surprise me about this president, but the fact that he thinks he did nothing wrong is remarkable. One possibility that explains his thinking is that he believes Biden did something wrong, so the means to uncover that doesn’t matter. But there are problems with that: 1) If Biden really did something legitimately wrong, there are appropriate channels to do this; and if he used appropriate channels and they discovered wrongdoing, that would strengthen the claim. Intervening outside of appropriate channels makes the investigation seem political, weakening the legitimacy of the investigation. (Perhaps he doesn’t care about legitimacy–he just wants to hurt his political opponent.); 2) Trump and his family are guilty of the wrongdoing he’s accusing Biden of. How can Biden be guilty while he and his family are not? That doesn’t fly.
Obama loving (wrote Obama book) Peter Baker of the Failing New York Times, married to an even bigger Trump Hater than himself, should not even be allowed to write about me. Every story is a made up disaster with sources and leakers that don’t even exist. I had a simple and very..
…..nice call with with the new President of Ukraine, it could not have been better or more honorable, and the Fake News Media and Democrats, working as a team, have fraudulently made it look bad. It wasn’t bad, it was very legal and very good. A continuing Witch Hunt!
The phone call “could not have been better or more honorable…It wasn’t bad, it was very legal and very good.” Again, he really seems to think that nothing was wrong with the call. Now, I’m not sure about the legal part, but this was not honorable, good, or something that couldn’t have been better. I’m also certain that large numbers of congressional Republicans, if they were honest and candid, would strongly disagree with him. They should be made to publicly state their position on this. What Trump did is wrong and completely inappropriate and unacceptable for the president of a democratic republic. The public should know which politicians and pundits agree and disagree on this.
On a side note, here’s what the POTUS tweeted right before that:
To show you how dishonest the LameStream Media is, I used the word Liddle’, not Liddle, in discribing Corrupt Congressman Liddle’ Adam Schiff. Low ratings @CNN purposely took the hyphen out and said I spelled the word little wrong. A small but never ending situation with CNN!
We can make fun of this and laugh, but ultimately I see this as one of many indications that something is not right with him. In a lot of ways, what I’ve seen from Trump reminds me of what I’ve seen from AB. I don’t know if AB has an actual mental disorder, but I have the strong impression that something is not right with him. His behavior is not normal, and having a mental disorder would explain it. I feel the same about Trump. The phrase “mad king” comes to mind.
Speaking of “mad king,” a little later he tweeted this:
“IT WAS A PERFECT CONVERSATION WITH UKRAINE PRESIDENT!”
The call to the Ukrainian President was PERFECT. Read the Transcript! There was NOTHING said that was in any way wrong. Republicans, don’t be led into the fools trap of saying it was not perfect, but is not impeachable. No, it is much stronger than that. NOTHING WAS DONE WRONG!
It really does seem like he really believes he did nothing wrong–which is really damning in my view. And it’s not just this call, but the actions behind the scenes involving his lawyer, Rudy Giuliani.
I feel like now would be a good time for Mattis, Tillerson, Coats, Bolton, Cohn, and McMaster to publicly speak out against Trump–with maybe Mattis doing this on one day followed by the others, one after the other. I think this could be a bombshell that causes the damn to break (i.e., precipitating defections en masse), or at least quash Trump’s narrative and the efforts to promote it. Death blow.
The article below on political cascades does a great job of explaining my underlying thinking on this:
The following is meaningful and I appreciate it, but I don’t think it spark a political cascade. (About a thousand former federal prosecutors signed a letter saying POTUS would have been indicted if not for rule that POTUS can’t be indicted in office. That didn’t seem to have much effect.)
Nearly 300 former U.S. national security and foreign policy officials have signed a statement warning that Trump's actions regarding Ukraine are a "profound national security concern" and supporting an impeachment inquiry to determine "the facts."https://t.co/iAwVavXGu6
I guess we’ve given up on Romney voicing his conscience? I feel like a sitting Republican senator might be more effective. Your average member of the electorate doesn’t even know who McMaster is.
I haven’t completely given up on Romney or other Republicans (e.g., Senator Collins, Murkowski) from speaking because of their conscience, but their response to Trump thus far doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence.
And if sitting Congress people would speak out strongly–like Rep. Justin Amash–that would absolutely have impact. However, in my view, what’s critical is a group of them, coming out in a cascade. One solitary voice, like Amash, trickling out with long intervals in between–that seems to have minimal impact. (See Sen. Corker and Sen. Flake.)
Finally, while many casual news consumers may not know McMaster, or Mattis, Tillerson, Cohn, Coats, Bolton–if they sound the alarm bells, I think the coverage will identify who they are and convey that seriousness of this.
(Side note: McMaster may not be the most effective messenger, unless he publicly admits his error.
Flashback, May 16, 2017: McMaster says Trump’s conversation with Russian diplomats in the Oval Office was “wholly appropriate.” https://t.co/x4aa4u8aAi
When the only American citizen President Trump singles out for China’s investigation is his political opponent in the midst of the Democratic nomination process, it strains credulity to suggest that it is anything other than politically motivated.
I applaud Romney for saying this. We need more Republicans to come out and say the same, though. Or Romney has to keep repeating this, emphatically doing so. What I would like to see: A press conference where a group of Republican Congress people–such as Lamar Alexander, James Lankford, Richard Burr, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Ben Sasse, Adam Kinzinger, Will Hurd, etc.–come out a clearly denounce the actions of Trump. They can say they support a lot of Trump’s policies. They can even say they don’t think he should be impeached (at this time), but they should say that Trump’s conversation with the Ukranian President totally wrong and unacceptable.
By the way, I agree with what Frum says below:
Mitt Romney succeeded at everything he did in life: academics, business, family life. The presidency eluded him, but he can gain a place in history greater than many presidents by his actions over the next 12 months.
Any Republican (or conservative pundit) that plays a key role in pushing back or effectively stopping Trump–e.g., spearheading a Republican revolt against Trump, helping bring Republicans and Democrats together to oppose Trump , mitigating divisions in the country, etc.–will be remembered as a hero and a significant historical figure in my opinion.
This type of tweet below, won’t age well:
You can keep getting played,but I wont
I’ll focus on dignified work,collapsing families & communities,China’s plan to overtake us etc;the issues facing the millions of people who don’t spend all day hyperventilating about what’s on twitter or the news. https://t.co/2xvL3j5CnW
He’ll focus on thosee things while ignoring the President urging Ukraine to investigate his main political opponent and the opponent’s son, withholding critical military aid that Urkaine needs to defend itself against Russia. There’s also enormous corruption–specifically, Trump using his office to enrich himself. Also lingering questions about counter-intel threat Trump poses to the country. Rubio implies these things are unsubstantial, and I think history will judge him, and others like him, harshly for this.
Rep. Jamie Raskin RIPS Republican’s line that Donald Trump is an “anti-corruption crusader.”
"You pick up the New York Times yesterday, President Trump had to pay $2 million to charities because he ripped off his own charity!"pic.twitter.com/l3FMkXE1P5
NEW from @NBCNews: After Bolton shut down meeting where Sondland offered Zelenskiy meeting if he reopened investigation, Sondland took Ukrainians to White House basement to talk "next steps."
Trump denies there was a quid pro quo, but his acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney admits there was, saying, "We do that all the time." pic.twitter.com/tplxhFMkan
I totally agree with the article below. It also includes a quick summary of the DNC server and crowdstrike issue that Trump mentioned in his phone call with the Ukranian president.
I'm re-upping a piece I wrote explaining just how crazy the DNC server conspiracy theory at the heart of the Trump-Ukraine scandal is. @realDonaldTrump believing this nutty notion & allowing it to shape US policy should scare a sane person. Please read/RT.https://t.co/KUkg3FTvFV
I think checking facts is important, but I have problems with the way journalists do factchecking. But I liked the tack WaPo took here. They first cited DoD assessment of corruption in Ukraine. (I believe DoD has to do this before signing off on military aid, or something to that effect.) Their assessment was that Ukraine was taking good steps to end or reduce corruption. They then looked to see if the White House did any assessment, in which to disagree with DoD. Nope. Nada. They give Trump (and Mulvaney) four Pinocchios. (Note: Did Trump and Mulvaney make a claim that wasn’t factual? That seems wrong. Their claim was not believable, for some of the reasons they list, but that doesn’t make the claim not a fact.)
Also,
Trump administration sought billions of dollars in cuts to programs aimed at fighting corruption in Ukraine and elsewhere.https://t.co/dvfQnxrurY
Finally, and I think I mentioned this before. Look at Trump, his family and his cabinet–it will be clear that he doesn’t care about corruption–unless his political opponent does it.
Bill Taylor confirmed today that the release of aid to Ukraine was contingent on a *public announcement* that Ukraine was investigating the Bidens. As I wrote here, this was an attempt to push a covert propaganda op on the American public, which is ILLEGAL https://t.co/Tur8pw2X6G
Andrew Napolitano of Fox News just called out Republicans who Stormed the Capitol
"When were the rules written last? In January of 2015. And who signed them? John Boehner. And who enacted them? A Republican majority."pic.twitter.com/9bPTDaAEH4
The details in the following article should really be bad for Trump, but in a way, it could be good.
Read @MiriamElder on The Dark Heart Of The Impeachment Investigation Is A Powerful Oligarch — With Close Ties To Vladimir Putin https://t.co/borFu1w8WB
I say “good” because if Russian oligarchs have ties to Trump and his associates like Giuliani than I think that just makes the story way more confusing for the average American. For one thing, this adds more players to the story, and like a 19th century Russian novel, this can make keeping track of what’s going on more difficult. Secondly, I worry that many Americans may not understand potential significance (and threat) of Trump having ties to Russian oligarchs. The oligarchs may be rich and even corrupt. So what? There are rich corrupt Americans, too. Yes, that’s not a good thing if the POTUS has some ties with them, but Trump’s a businessman, and I suspect many will accept and tolerate him having ties to corrupt individuals.
The thing is, the corruption in Russia can involve ties to organized crime and the Russian government; and the nature of the tie may involve assistance with money laundering and other illicit practices that can be used as blackmail against Trump and his associates with those ties.
I’ll stop here and acknowledge that what I said sounds like a crazy conspiracy theory. I will mention some things that others can check out for themselves. First, the idea that Russian organized criminals, oligarchs or even Russian banks, etc. launder money in the west is something that happens, regardless of if Trump got involved with a scheme like this. Second, one should ask if there is any evidence that Trump, prior to becoming president, may have been involved with this sort of activity. If both are true, one may think the notion is less far-fetched. But then again, maybe not. I will say accepting even the possibility is not easy–because it seems crazy that this could be happening to someone who is the POTUS. This is another advantage that Trump has.
One obvious giveaway that Trump had no interest in “corruption” is his demand that Zelensky announce the investigation publicly. When you want a real investigation, as opposed to a political weapon, you don’t give your target a public heads up.https://t.co/sPxLJGGHga
(This is according to officials who spoke anonymously, but it’s not hard to believe.)
Trump berated aides in May who pushed for better Ukraine ties. He sought to block 2017 aid, complaining of country & saying it would offend Russia. He has questioned whether it’s a real country. W/@GregJaffe on loathing at heart of impeachment probe: https://t.co/YaMwGaSidY
At best, it seems like Trump’s animosity towards Ukraine stems from a conspiracy theory–namely that Ukraine worked with the DNC to take down Trump–but it’s unclear what Trump means by this or why he believes this. (It seems like Trump is tying the conspiracy theory that Crowdstrike attempted to frame the Russian government for hacking the DNC).
I think the bottom line (or one of them) is that Trump is putting his hatred towards Ukraine ahead of U.S. interests; and his hatred is based on a conspiracy theory.
Also, hating Ukraine–accusing them of interfering with the election, instead of the Russians–not giving military aid to them–all of this benefits Russia.
Edit
Internal Mueller documents show Trump campaign chief suggested Ukraine hacked Democrats during 2016 campaign https://t.co/iv3EE1GxiT
If they think what Trump did is truly deserving of impeachment, their silence is deplorable. Why? In my view, what’s critical about the situation we’re in are the people and institutions that inform and signal to the public whether something is seriously wrong or not. Did Trump really do something that warrants impeachment? Or is this a bogus charge driven almost entirely by politics–i.e., a witch hunt? My sense is that a very large number of Americans are uncertain and confused about this; and they will continue to be confused and uncertain as long as the Republicans and Democrats take opposite positions, and both sides are equally loud and adamant. However, if enough Republicans and conservative pundits agree with Democrats–especially those who supported Trump–then I think many of these Americans won’t be so confused and uncertain–they’ll support impeachment and removal.
Having said that, I do think this is more complicated. News could actually generate increased public opposition to Trump and that could cause Republicans and conservative pundits to turn against Trump, which will lead to more Americans turning against Trump. The issue isn’t either/or. The public’s shift could change Republicans and the Republicans’ shift could change the public. Both could happen simultaneously and feed into each other.
I believe there are many congressional Republicans who know that Trump is totally unfit and that he did many impeachable things. If a handful of them expressed this, it could make a difference, especially if set off a chain reaction. The same applies to former and current officials in the Trump administration. If Mattis, McMaster, Tillerson, Cohn, et al., had a press conference tomorrow saying Trump’s behavior warrants impeachment, that could set off a chain reaction–in the public opinion as well within conservative sphere.
If this is accurate, the silence of these individuals is disappointing at best, and a kind of betrayal of the country at worst.
This is worse, if true:
Former GOP Senator Jeff Flake:
“I heard someone say if there were a private vote there would be 30 Republican votes. That's not true," Flake said during a Q&A. "There would be at least 35." https://t.co/rfqRg1Bnrr
Trump and his supporters, including some congressional Republicans, are saying this is Fake News, the Democrats want to usurp voters, a witch hunt. All these claims would be destroyed if those 35 Senators mentioned above would speak up! Same with Mattis, Tillerson, Kelly, McMaster, Cohn, Coats, et al. This is not to say that Trump would lose all support. But most of the support would be the fanatics, which I think would be significantly smaller than the rest of the country.
Here’s the type of argument they’re apparently going to use:
From WSJ: “Democrats want to impeach Mr. Trump for asking a foreign government to investigate his political rival for corruption, though the probe never happened, and for withholding aid to Ukraine that in the end wasn’t withheld.” https://t.co/pFvBOIkDPo
A senior State Dept. official claims this is a process started before the Trump administration and the WH has nothing to do with this, but that is hard to believe. This the problem when Trump who publicly attacks people who are prosecuted or investigated by the federal government. It creates the impression that Trump is ordering or pressuring the departments to do this. (Sorry if that’s obvious, I’m venting here.)
“Nearly every Trump ally’s defense has been an effort to gaslight America.”
The White House itself released a memorandum of the telephone conversation, and the president has admitted to wrongdoing, even if he claims not to understand why it’s wrong. Nearly every Trump ally’s defense has been an effort to gaslight America. https://t.co/XToqHizgBp
Maybe I’m wrong, but I really think most reasonable, fair-minded people who follow the news closely would agree with Rep. Amash. But many people do not follow the news closely–they’re not news junkies, and they have busy lives.
Here’s where the press could (and should) aid these Americans, but their method of creating the appearance of fairness and objectivity is to create an equivalence between the two political parties, using techniques like “he said/she said” journalism. This approach wouldn’t be so problematic if both sides more or less told the truth and operated in good faith to the same degree. The problem occurs when one party operates in a way that is significantly different, operating in bad faith far more than the other. When this happens the balanced approach to covering politics fails to serve the American public, particularly those who aren’t news junkies. And this leads back to Yglesias tweet above.
One last point. I feel like the press could (should?) deal with this problem by presenting evidence showing that one side is worse than the other. The problem is that simply doing this will suggest they’re not being fair. One way to get around this problem is to have a group of liberals and conservatives oversee this process and even have a discussion about this–a discussion that would reveal where the group agrees and disagrees. If both liberals and conservatives ultimately agree that Republicans are being less honest and have more bad faith than Democrats, claiming unfairness and bias would be more difficult.
As you watch Trump’s defenders lie, deflect, and distract today and in the coming weeks, remember that they don’t care about being caught in obvious lies. Calling bullshit still means you’re talking about the bullshit, not the facts.
This is part of the “flood not dam” model. They want doubt. They can make up a dozen new lies and new distractions every day while there’s only one truth. Stop chasing them and keep repeating the facts.
Many thought it strange when Putin’s propaganda released many different “refutations” after Russian forces shot down MH17, some even on the same day. But they want to distract, not refute. To make it seem like the truth isn’t knowable.
They’ll attack the truth-tellers, accuse them of anything at all, because playing defense takes energy. They’ll use whataboutism to distract from their crimes. Keep following the money and repeating the truth.
I agree that Trump and his supporters merely want to create doubt and cause confusion. I’m not sure repeating facts is the solution, though. My gut tells me that the better move is to focus on previous claims made by both pro and anti-Trump folks, including the frequency in which the claims were accurate or proved true. They show also make note of outrageous claims, and how often these proved true or false. By presenting these in a way that the public can easily compare, the public can decide which speakers are credible or not.
Of course, the press should also point out when defenders or opponents of Trump make false or dubious claims in the present.
Finally, when evaluating Trump’s rhetoric and actions, with Trump defenders or opponents, I think the press should frame the discussion by asking if the behavior is appropriate for a future presidents, Democrat or Republican, or if the behavior would warrant the end of a presidency. The present position of opponents or defenders should be seen as a position on the standards that will be applied to future presidents. If anyone thinks a future presidency warrants termination for a specific behavior, if the current president behaves in the same way, then his presidency warrants termination now.
Addendum
I just realized a problem with the press providing clear evidence about the credibility of supporters or opponents of Trump. If the evidence overwhelmingly shows that one side is far less credible a) this will create the impression that the press is not being fair (i.e., they’re biased), and b) they will have more difficulty putting the discredited individuals on their news programs. My sense is that the latter would be bad for ratings, and it would create the impression that they’re not being fair.
Evidence that Trump thinks and governs more like an authoritarian than a president of a liberal democracy
As I learn more and more each day, I am coming to the conclusion that what is taking place is not an impeachment, it is a COUP, intended to take away the Power of the….
….People, their VOTE, their Freedoms, their Second Amendment, Religion, Military, Border Wall, and their God-given rights as a Citizen of The United States of America!
If he loses in 2020 or gets impeached, I’m almost certain he will not go quietly–likely loudly questioning the legitimacy of the election or inciting his base by using references to “coup” and “civil war.” No real leader of a liberal democracy would do this.
Additionally, here’s something I hope Americans will consider and examine: Has Trump done or said anything that would cause people who have sworn an oath to protect and defend the U.S. Constitution to be critical or suspicious of Trump? If there are, that weakens Trump’s claims. Also, if any other politician behaved like Trump, what kind of press coverage would you predict? If the answer is “highly negative,” then the problem isn’t the press–it’s Trump.
The country will need Republicans and conservative media to help us out of this mess. If they support Trump’s claims, the country could be in bad shape.
Yesterday:
“The congratulatory phone call with the Ukrainian President was PERFECT, unless you heard Liddle’ Adam Schiff’s fraudulently made up version of the call. This is just another Fake News Media, together with their partner, the Democrat Party, HOAX!
So if the so-called “Whistleblower” has all second hand information, and almost everything he has said about my “perfect” call with the Ukrainian President is wrong (much to the embarrassment of Pelosi & Schiff), why aren’t we entitled to interview & learn everything about….
The second-hand complaint is moot because the White House rough transcript is damning by itself (and is largely consistent with the complaint). Trump genuinely thinks he did nothing wrong in the call (just as he seems to think there’s nothing wrong with accepting “dirt” of his political opponent from other countries, or trying to build a tower in Russia during the election, while casting doubt on Russian interference).
A few days ago, Trump retweeted this quote from Pastor Robert Jeffers:
….If the Democrats are successful in removing the President from office (which they will never be), it will cause a Civil War like fracture in this Nation from which our Country will never heal.” Pastor Robert Jeffress, @FoxNews
GOP placing great importance in identifying the whistleblower. Is there any legitimate reason for doing this
Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham said the impeachment inquiry into President Trump is "invalid" unless the identity of the anonymous whistleblower whose complaint sparked House Democrats' probe is revealed https://t.co/OitGozd8VX
Here’s a situation where I think anger would be justified and a desire to out the whistleblower would be understandable–namely, if the complaint was trivial, creating the impression that it was a political hit job. Or maybe if the POTUS was completely innocent.
But in this case, the complaint, if true, would be a big deal–something that would potentially end any other presidency, justifiably so. Trump also released a WH summary the phone call that is largely consistent with the whistleblower. Witnesses also seem consistent with the whistleblower. Really, all that seems left is to decide if what the President did is acceptable and warrants impeachment and/or removal. I don’t see how that identity of the whistleblower is relevant.
The idea that the Trump administration views Democrats as more of an enemy than hostile foreign countries like Russia is the central allegation of the impeachment inquiry. Rather than a defense, this is a confession to that mindset. https://t.co/jQA8lVDga0
This seems like a plausible explanation for the behavior of Republicans and conservatives who have been principled and patriotic–who genuinely cared about the rule of law, separation of powers, and national security–They see Democrats as far more of a threat than Trump. They will tolerate his corruption, incompetence, mental instablity because their blinded by the notion that the Democrats are worse. Nothing Trump can do will be worse than Democrats….Now, I have a hard time believing this is literally the case, but it doesn’t seem far off. I’ll put it this way: I have a hard time imagining what Trump could do that would make Republicans turn against him.
A reminder: Candidate Trump suggested stealing Iraq’s oil, killings terrorists families, and a false historical story about dipping bullets in pigs blood (among other atrocities). He was still elected. https://t.co/pQLFH2A1sr
Also, I remember when interviews asked him about Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte’s handling of drug problem (Duterte was ordering extra-judicial killings.) Trump said, “He’s doing it the right way.”
Trump’s now urging China to investigate the Bidens.
President Trump, on the South Lawn, says Ukraine "should investigate the Bidens." "I would say President Zelenskiy, if it was me, I would recommend they start an investigation into the Bidens.”
"Likewise," he added, "China should investigate the Bidens."
–Who thinks he will protect the elections from foreign interference, which includes foreign adversaries providing dirt, accurate or not, on political opponents). It’s very difficult to not see his lack of actions on shoring up election equipment and pushing back on Russian interference as a sign that he’s open to this, and indirectly welcoming it. If true this would be something that makes him unfit and warrants the end of his presidency;
–This is a time where Republicans like Romney need to forcefully condemn the POTUS from publicly urging other countries to investigate his political opponents. To be silent is to allow this behavior to become the norm;
–Trump complains about the whistleblower’s “secondhand information.” Trump’s public comments above support the WB’s complaint;
–The idea that Trump wants the Biden’s investigated because he cares about corruption is absurd. And if it’s OK to investigate children of his political opponents for corruption, it should OK to investigate his children. Addtionally, if corruption shi
Who believes Trump really cares about ending corruption? (I guess the same people who believe he’s “draining the swamp?”)
As President I have an obligation to end CORRUPTION, even if that means requesting the help of a foreign country or countries. It is done all the time. This has NOTHING to do with politics or a political campaign against the Bidens. This does have to do with their corruption!
Anyone who digs up news reports about Trump’s golf courses and hotels and the business of his children–since he’s been in office–or scandals involving his cabinet–I can’t imagine such a person will take Trump seriously about caring about corruption.
Another thing: He’s not obligated to end corruption in other countries. Speak out against, sure. But, again, I can’t recall him speaking out about the corruption of other countries. And he seems to have a strong desire of getting along with Russia, but doesn’t seem concerned about their corruption.
Finally, my understanding is that there are proper channels for DOJ to get involved with corruption issues in other countries, and Trump has bypassed those (e.g., using his personal lawyer). When it comes to U.S. citizens, the POTUS should target them, or make public statements that suggests that he is. The POTUS should allow DOJ/FBI to handle this with independence, certainly not use these agencies to go after political enemies.
At what point does one consider “ravings of a mad King” is actually an accurate description rather than a glib, partisan cheap shot?
As I have stated strongly before, and just to reiterate, if Turkey does anything that I, in my great and unmatched wisdom, consider to be off limits, I will totally destroy and obliterate the Economy of Turkey (I’ve done before!). They must, with Europe and others, watch over…
More evidence that the ravings and madness may be real. Or it could be just evidence of gross incompetence:
.@stavridisj, "Everyone (at Pentagon) was absolutely flabbergasted by this. I tell you that as a fact. Nobody saw it coming and that is a real problem when you're trying to conduct not only foreign policy but also military operations." #AMRstaff
"His public statements—and especially his tweets—are a record of impeachable admissions," writes @RadioFreeTom about President Trump: https://t.co/U7PYUV2r1c
The argument is persuasive for me–but that’s also because I think there is a lot of other evidence that warrant impeachment and removal. In a way, I don’t know if the tweets cited by Nichols is sufficient. While they may be, they can also be seen as reinforcing Trump’s unfitness–a level of unfitness that would warrant impeachment.
I didn’t see the video, but if it’s as bad as it sounds–this is so wrong.
At a conference of pro-Trump conservatives held at his property in Miami last week, a gruesome internet meme of Trump murdering members of the media was shown as part of an exhibit https://t.co/NiSoroGEgG via @NYTimes
CNN statement re: vile video: "The president and his family, the White House, and the Trump campaign need to denounce it immediately in the strongest possible terms. Anything less equates to a tacit endorsement of violence and should not be tolerated by anyone."
Trump isn’t even trying to be a leader, someone trying to unite the country. Also, his attacks on the press, including describing them as “the enemy of the people,” is another indication of his authoritarian approach to governing. It’s reprehensible.
10/14/2019
Here’s the video:
Every mother and father in America should watch video. Play it all the way to end. Know that this is the re-election message of your President.
And then ask yourself – how you sit your kids down and tell them you want this person to lead us. https://t.co/TjgYE1uJy6
I might pump the brakes just a little here. If the video (and I won’t watch it so this is just speculation) was clearly meant to be a joke, I don’t think the takeaway is necessarily an endorsement of violence. I didn’t think much of Kathy Griffin’s decapitation joke, and I understood a lot of the outrage, but Griffin is a comic — nobody takes what she says as instructive or any kind of doctrine.
I absolutely think it’s in poor taste and I’m also disgusted by it, but is it reprehensible?
I absolutely think it’s in poor taste and I’m also disgusted by it, but is it reprehensible?
Yes, and I disturbing–I would be surprised if you disagree (if you watched it). I’ll describe a few things, since you don’t plan on watching it. The video uses a graphically violently, shoot ’em up clip from the movie, The Kingsman–not only do we see Trump graphically killing the news media, but President Obama, and Hillary Clinton as well.
I can’t imagine any POTUS not forcefully disavowing and denouncing this video.
I saw a tweet of Trump insisting on knowing the identity of the whistleblower. Some thoughts about Trump’s thought process:
1. Trump wholeheartedly believes the phone call to the Ukranian president, and using Giuliani, Sondland, Pence, et al. to pressure Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son, is perfectly acceptable. Maybe he believes it’s OK because every president or politician does this or should do this.
2. If this is true, then he may believe the whistleblower is simply trying to create the appearance that Trump did something awful–like how the GOP made a big deal about Benghazi debacle. That is, the GOP mostly made a big deal to hurt Hillary Clinton (and Obama) politically.
3. If this is true, then Trump would think the whistleblower isn’t really a whistleblower–i.e., the person doesn’t have a legitimate concern–s/he is engaging in political/information warfare. Therefore the person doesn’t deserve protection.
If all of this is true, this is really damning in my opinion–specifically if #1 is true. It is one of many examples that reveal a very authoritarian mindset and approach to governing. Most Republican congresspersons would strongly disagree with Trump–at least before Trump was elected.
I think it’s pretty clear that #1 is true, based on Trump’s comments–and the fact that the WH released a summary of the phone conversation, ostensibly thinking it would vindicate Trump. The question is, does Congress and the American people believe it’s acceptable for the POTUS to pressure another country to find political damaging information on a political opponent? Would it be OK if the POTUS sacrifice U.S. interests (in this case, withholding congressionally approved funding that is critical for Ukraine to defend itself against Russia) to do this? Would it be OK if the POTUS accepted dubious information, manufactured by the other country? Or do these actions warrant the end of a presidency?
Reading the article below makes me think of Paul Manafort, specifically the way he lobbied for questionable people. Giuliani seems like a cross between Manafort and Michael Cohen.
Also, the article raises questions about why Trump decided to move U.S. troops away from Kursdish allies.
NEW: Giuliani pushed Trump to extradite a Muslim cleric, a top priority of Erdogan. Trump repeatedly wanted to do it, but other advisers were appalled & blocked. Aides worried Giuliani was doing Turkey’s bidding. W/@CarolLeonnig, @nakashimae & @thamburger: https://t.co/MFKEfmuujd
Republicans like this have to start saying this publicly. Sickening that they’re keeping silent on this. I’m pretty sure large numbers of Americans confused or in the dark about whether Trump actually mentally and emotionally deteriorating. Republicans–or former prominent members of the Trump administration–would make this much clearer for them.
I also recommend watching this:
Ret. Admiral William McRaven says President Trump is a transactional leader. "We are a nation of values… He forgets that we’re the same nation that fought Nazism… and we did that not because it was just good for us, but because it was the right thing to do.” pic.twitter.com/kA9A8IRxz0
Retired Admiral William H. McRaven writes, "If our promises are meaningless, how will our allies ever trust us? If we can’t have faith in our nation’s principles, why would the men and women of this nation join the military?" https://t.co/Pobg1AVKRL
Putting aside my problems with Pence in the Trump administration, I like what he says here. Before Trump this would have been bolierplate for a POTUS. I miss those days.
Love this. As an American and as someone who admires Gandhi and Dr. Martin Luther King, I approve this message.
Every day, I’m inspired by the heroism of the countless protestors in Hong Kong working to advance the cause of democracy and human rights. Their bravery is reminding the world of the power of nonviolent action. pic.twitter.com/iA4apTfA3p
From the Director of National Intelligence’s office:
The IC is working to prevent foreign adversaries from using U.S. elections to undermine confidence in our democracy, sow divisions in our society, & promote their agendas. Indications that foreign actors may be interfering in U.S. elections should be reported to @FBI or @DHSgov.
Trump’s “keep the oil” position is not about the Kurds or establishing some sort of international trust to fund post-conflict reconstruction efforts. He’s talking about the US and US companies profiting, which would violate Geneva Conventions and US law: https://t.co/8XiKJeSbb0https://t.co/TsmpaGngmm
He’s said this before about Iraqi oil as well. My sense is that he genuinely believes this. And I would be shocked if many people around him haven’t told him this is illegal, and not a good thing to express, as it feeds narrative that U.S. just want to take ME resources.
The lack of self-awareness here is remarkable. It’s delusional, or I’m losing my mind.
Actually just said by Donald Trump Jr: "I wish my name was Hunter Biden. I could go abroad and make millions off my father's presidency. I'd be a really rich guy" pic.twitter.com/9ohFDbwJn4
To get a sense of the possible serious effects of impeachment, I think this article is worth reading:
Republicans breezily dismiss alarms that Trump is dangerously threatening democracy as leftist hyperventilation. They should not be so cavalier about such worries. That this is where we're heading is as clear as day in the impeachment fight. https://t.co/kLIGcutGlb
AG Bill Barr’s Quest to Investigate the Investigators
Barr assigned John Durham, the AG of Conneticutt, to investigate the investigation of Trump-Russia. (Inspector General of DOJ or FBI has already been reviewing this prior to this appointment.) Durham supposedly had a good reputation, and it would make sense to choose someone like that to ensure public this investigation is not political. But Barr has supposedly been flying to other countries to talk to their officials about how Trump-Russia investigation started–which almost ruins the appointment of Durham in the first place.
Here’s a recent story on Barr’s investigation:
The Attorney General of the United States — seeking international help to discredit the US Intelligence Community and his own Department. What have we come to? https://t.co/7zyU9jkOwg
And the information being requested has left allies astonished. One British official with knowledge of Barr’s wish list presented to London commented that “it is like nothing we have come across before, they are basically asking, in quite robust terms, for help in doing a hatchet job on their own intelligence services”.
Thank you @NYCBarAssn for standing up for the rule of law & independence of DOJ. The letter is compelling & it’s just stunning how many examples there are to cite about Barr’s misconduct. https://t.co/Ujci6EIidK
It is also dangerous for a president to take an off-the-books call like that, Pfeiffer said. That is why call logs are kept, he said. Without them, someone could assert that the president said something on a call, and a log “protects the president’s ability to deny something happened,” he said. “Good bureaucratic record-keeping is a protection for someone in the position of the president.”
This is not the first time questions have arisen over Trump’s unorthodox phone use. He has been known to give his personal cellphone number to other world leaders, despite aides’ warnings that his cellphone calls are not secure. Russia and China in particular have targeted his personal cellphone calls, the New York Times reported.
I’m almost certain people around him have told him these things, yet, he seems to continue to ignore them. This seems like gross negligence, and if he persists in doing these things, I would think this is impeachable.
I hope there is missing contextual information that makes this not as sickening as it seems:
“In 2013, a 10-member jury of military officers convicted Clint Lorance on two counts of murder and other charges related to a pattern of threatening and intimidating actions toward Afghans as commander of an infantry platoon.” Read on: https://t.co/a1WtsqGRDH
Lorance’s soldiers turned him in that evening, and at the July 2013 trial, 14 of his men testified under oath against him. Four of those soldiers received immunity in exchange for their testimony. Lorance did not appear on the stand, and not one of his former 1st Platoon soldiers spoke in his defense. The trial lasted three days. It took the jury of Army officers three hours to find him guilty of second-degree murder, making false statements and ordering his men to fire at Afghan civilians. The jury handed down a 20-year sentence.
and
In interviews after his release, Lorance insisted that the soldiers who testified against him were pressured by the Army or had turned on him because he was an exacting commander and they lacked discipline. “When I walked into the guard tower and the soldiers didn’t have their helmet or body armor on, I told them to put it on,” he told Blue Magazine, which advocates on behalf of police officers. “And they didn’t like that, they didn’t like taking orders like that, but I was brought in there to enforce the standard.”
This was predictable. (1) will Greene go forward (2) will the president fire him (3) will Spencer back him (4) will Trump push him out too?
Congress should be speaking loudly here. Deep interference in service qualifications and suitability is a big reach for the president. https://t.co/qPDyqRPPpN
Breaking News: President Trump reversed a decision by the Navy that sought to remove from the SEALs a sailor who was involved in a high-profile war crime case https://t.co/oyaT3S80dx
“The secretary of the Navy and the admiral who leads the SEALs have threatened to resign or be fired if plans to expel a commando from the elite unit in a war crimes case are halted by President Trump, administration officials said Saturday.” https://t.co/b0ogA8JHVA
US military leaders hoping to keep the secretary of the Navy from quitting have lobbied President Trump aboard Air Force One to stop intervening in the case of the Navy SEAL accused of murder, 5 current and one former military and defense officials tell @NBCNews.
I am open-minded and willing to consider the possibility for good reasons for not taking away their tridents or for pardoning these soldiers, but I haven’t read Trump give any reason for this. Anyone know if he has or if there are good arguments for his actions?
Right now, Trump seems to be backing down. As I think this is good for the military, I hope this doesn’t change.
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Navy has been notified that the White House will not intervene to stop a disciplinary proceeding that could cost a SEAL his position in the elite unit https://t.co/6aOgDkabHL
Gallagher making some pretty big accusations against the U.S. Navy.
In interview Trump encouraged people to watch, alleged war criminal Eddie Gallagher attacks Navy higher-ups: "This is all about ego & retaliation, this has nothing to do with good order & discipline."
If he’s correct there should be hell to pay in the Navy, but, to be fair, if he’s wrong–especially if these accusations are entirely baseless and spurious–he should have hell to pay.
I really tired of Trump and others making these smears and accusations with no consequences. They just keep doing it, and probably will continue unless they face meaningful consequences.
BREAKING: In extraordinary resignation letter, US Navy Sec. Spencer writes that "I no longer share the same understanding as the Commander in Chief who appointed me, in regards to the key principle of good order and discipline." https://t.co/nV9pJGXJPIpic.twitter.com/u6xX6Ai3xL
What just happened with the Navy is part of a pattern. @realDonaldTrump has undermined the intelligence community, the foreign service, and our alliances. So it was only a matter of time before he took on the military. https://t.co/DS22U3jB5X
The following article discusses the importance of enforcing discipline and codes of conduct for soldiers. On some level I can understand why some may want to be lenient on soldiers, as we’re asking them to be willing to kill in order to defend the nation and its interests. They’re bound to make mistakes in the process. But if the U.S. military doesn’t have a strict code of conduct, then the soldiers and military overall can devolve into savagery and barbarism. Well, that’s my takeaway. Read for yourself.
"The United States military keeps itself in line by planting a thick hedge of norms and values," writes @EliotACohen, "and if it ever were to lose it, woe betide the military, and woe betide the country." https://t.co/m3YqpkPSCk
I’m also going to include the New York Times Daily podcast, which gives a lot of the backstory on this:
On today’s Daily: the unusual battle between the US president and the US military over the fate of a single Navy SEAL, Eddie Gallagher — which cost the Secretary of the Navy his job over the weekend. https://t.co/EgzehZS2Yf
Still feel the same as above. I do not trust this guy one bit. The more eager he is the less I trust him. The guy might have information that weakened Trump politically, and I still would be reluctant to have him release this information
Giuliani and Republican leadership messaging over the last couple of days signals that Trump and his allies are escalating their use of disinformation as a political tool, an authoritarian strategy to prevent the public from ascertaining truth and holding them accountable.
And our society is not well-equipped at this moment to deal with this.
I have a strong sense that McMullin is right. Many of the arguments Trump and his defenders are throwing out there are not compelling and sometimes not sound. But I get the sense they’re not throwing these arguments out not to convince people, but to sow confusion–or at least that’s where the strategy can be effective. As long as a large enough percentage of the population is confused, unsure of what to believe and then exhausted, Trump can escape.
The press should be one of the main defenses against this, but they are not doing a good job in this regard in my opinion. My sense is that some different approach to their job is required, and, for the most part, they have not really made this kind of adjustment.
Here are some quick thoughts on the nature of the problem we face now.
Some problems:
People can make up crazy lies, accusations, and conspiracy theories with little or no consequence. By lack of consequence, I’m thinking specifically of loss of credibility, social shunning. Without these consequences, these people and their ideas maintain a level of credibility it should not. Now, I believe this effect is especially true to Americans who don’t pay close attention to the news, who are largely politically apathetic. I believe this leads to confusion and exhaustion from these individuals.
I should add that I think we’re in this situation because bad actors like Trump seem to have little or no shame. If he and his supporters did, they would not do what they’re doing, or they would likely resign.
Path forward
My sense is the way out of this mess involves identifying and actively fortifying the journalists, politicians, pundits, and political organizations that rely on facts, use sound and reasonable thinking and operate in good faith. If we can identify these people and organizations in a way that this would be clear to casual news consumers, then these casual news consumers should also be able to see the key facts, and sound arguments. And if this is very clear, they should be able to clearly see the claims that are dubious or false and arguments that are unreasonable and likely given in bad faith. This can then a basis to exact some heavy price on individuals and organizations that promote crazy claims.
Because I believe this to be true, my heart sunk a little as I read this tweet:
"If anything, his political hand is now even stronger as Republicans, presented with incontrovertible facts, have chosen not to accept them—and to become even more vociferous in Trump’s defense." https://t.co/TN5h9kQ07r
Here’s a quote from the article that takes me back to the post above:
The journalist in me longs to write about this other version of the hearings: the one that is all about the evidence and the unfolding investigation, about who was a strong witness and who was not, about where there are holes in the case and what new information was gleaned. This is the version that those who listened closely came away with, the one that led Julie Pace, the Washington bureau chief of the Associated Press, no bastion of editorializing, to conclude the “mountain of impeachment evidence is beyond dispute.”
The journalists primary challenge is not the usual one involving digging for and verifying information and presenting it in a compelling way to citizens. In my view the bigger challenge involves
a) getting the most relevant information to casual news consumers,
b) organizing it in a way that is relatively easy to understand, not requiring a lot of time and energy, and;
c) finding a messenger that is credible and trustworthy–i.e., can stand up to charges of political bias.
Without find a way to achieve the above, the “mountain of impeachment evidence” will likely be a matter of dispute.
Trump, 11/26: “No, I didn’t direct” Giuliani to work on Ukraine.
Trump, 7/25 to the president of Ukraine: “Mr. Giuliani is a highly respected man. I would like him to call you. I will ask him to call you along with the Attorney General. Rudy very much knows what's happening.” https://t.co/MrSF01Ntps
Fact-check: President Trump now claims he doesn’t know what Rudy Giuliani was up to in Ukraine. The facts – and Trump’s own prior statements – say otherwise. #FactsMatterpic.twitter.com/8QGjukJdQn
It just feels like mobster schtick–way to distance himself from illegal activity, creating a way to deny responsibility. But with careful scrutiny the strategem is not very effective. To me, it’s only effective if a confusing, overloaded information environment.
Thread shooting down suggestion that Trump didn’t know what Giuliani was doing:
long before scandal erupted and the impeachment inquiry launched, Giuliani repeatedly told me & many other reporters that he regularly briefed Trump personally/incrementally on what he was doing, & was open about informally advising Trump on ukraine. This was not something… https://t.co/s1EYC5GQRf
Going into this, my assumption was that the Bidens/Burisma story really had no substance. The podcast modified that view.
On today’s Daily: What the Bidens really did in Ukraine. Part 2 of our fact-check of the theories Trump pushed in his phone call with the president of Ukraine. Our guest: @kenvogel https://t.co/kW3Jx63AQr
A. There was lots of corruption in Ukraine;
B. The chief prosecutor of Ukraine was seen as very soft on corruption;
C. U.S. policy and many Europeans wanted him to be removed;
D. Biden pressured the Ukrainian government to remove him.
E. Hunter Biden, the VP’s son, sat on the board of Burisma (a gas company?).
What I learned
A. The new prosecutor did investigate Burisma, and issued fines, but ultimately the oligarch, who I believe was in exile, was allowed to return (and be involved with the company?);
B. Anti-corruption advocates in Ukraine were not happy with this–they didn’t think the Ukrainian government was tough enough.
This last point is important. If IMF and European leaders believed the actions were woefully inadequate–essentially allowing corruption to go unpunished–then this raises at least the appearance that Bidens’ involvement led to leniency.
On some level, one could argue that this warrants further investigation. On the other hand, those who believe this warrants further investigation, but ignores Trump not divesting his businesses and using his office to promote them; not acting on Trump administration promoting Ivanka’s products; not investigating whether China approved trademarks for Ivanka’s business–they should not be taken seriously.
In a way, this reminds me of Bill Clinton talking to AG Lynch on the tarmac. We don’t know what they talked about. They claimed they talked about family matters, not the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails and server. Even if they did, this meeting was problematic because of optics. If the Ukrainian actions on Burisma wasn’t adequate, this also creates the reasonable impression that the Bidens had something to do with this.
I should say that I think it’s important to compare actions and evaluate the severity of them. What I know of the Burisma/Biden would fall be a 4-5 on a 1-10 scale, with 10 being incredibly corrupt/criminal, etc. What Trump and his family are doing, in terms of corruption is 9-10.
Finally, if there is something to the Biden-Burisma scandal, why didn’t Republicans make a big deal of this? Why didn’t DOJ investigate? Trump’s DOJ could have used proper channels doing so as well–and this would have protected the investigation from the appearance of politicization. Trump’s handling of the issue has created the strong appearance that this is completely political and not legitimate.
The basic idea is that the courts rule against many of Trump’s actions this will ultimately constrain the presidency in ways that will likely harm future presidencies and our system of government overall. Why? Laws, as a way to regulate a president’s conduct and actions, can be crude and also abused via politics. Frum mentions that much of our system depended on a president to behave with a degree of honor and to be trustworthy. Trump has challenged that to a degree that the courts may render decisions that will make it harder for future presidents to function.
Of course, if the courts don’t do this, then this will enable Trump to act with impunity.
I’m not doing a good job of summarizing the article–it’s worth reading, so read it for yourself.
Here’s my take: Trump’s support is based primarily on a group with the most power and privilege feeling both under threat. They see Trump as their champion, fighting against this loss. In this battle, the ends justifies the means. Supporters will tolerate a violation of almost every principle and belief they’ve valued–in order to maintain power. And if they fail, at least, they won’t go quietly–Trump is angry expression of these changes. Generally, a group or individual with power does not give it up willingly. I feel like this is what we’re seeing play out. For Republicans who view Trump as their champion, fighting against this loss of power, on some level, I can see why they view him as better than Lincoln.
But her story should make all of us think about this question: Should the president get to point at you and ruin your life with mockery and lies? And should the Justice Department assist in that endeavor?
Is this such a good move? Wouldn’t it likely cause Trump to do something foolish or damaging to things that these people care about? Besides the pleasure of mocking the president, what is to be gained from promoting this?
12/4/2019
The world is laughing at President Trump. They see him for what he really is: dangerously incompetent and incapable of world leadership.
I don’t think it’s a great idea to do something that will provoke someone who could be mentally unstable and has the ability to launch nuclear missiles. It could possibly increase authoritarian behavior. (Is that the goal–to make him act so inappropriately that the American public turns against him?)
The Treasury Dept. says “Evil Corp.” is responsible for over $100 million in theft, making it one of the biggest cybercrime sprees in history. Here’s what you need to know about this Russia-based cybercriminal group. https://t.co/uQcbodW9yzpic.twitter.com/igYtwiQBuT
Note the line between Russian organized crime & Russian government/Russian Intel is non-existent. One of Russia's asymmetric advantages in cyberwarfare is piggybacking off cyber criminals. They don't have to train or pay them, but Kremlin can leverage them when needed. https://t.co/38GTLBJxPu
JAMES ROSEN: Do you hate the president, Madam Speaker?
NANCY PELOSI: I don’t hate anybody. … And as a Catholic, I resent your using the word “hate" in a sentence that addresses me. … I pray for the president all the time. So don’t mess with me when it comes to words like that. pic.twitter.com/KgDHTlNRvo
I assume Speaker Pelosi took this as an insinuation that she hates Trump–and that’s what offended her. While I can understand her being peeved, the question seems valid to me.
I really liked her response, separating policy positions she disagrees with, which she implied that the election should address, from violations of the Constitution, which the Ukraine scandal has triggered. I totally agree with her. Whether one agrees or disagrees with Trump’s policies, whether one finds Trump likable or unlikable, as a person–those matters don’t warrant impeachment and removal. Trump’s actions and behaviors relating to Ukraine foreign assistance and meetings with the Ukrainian president, tying this to an announcement that would damage his political rival, does.
In the press conference, Pelosi references a Trump quote–“Article II gives me the power to do whatever I want.”
Trump also said that he has that absolute right to pardon himself.
(Professor Turley, who testified yesterday, arguing against impeachment, appears in the clip, claiming that the POTUS can pardon himself, but it would basically be a really bad thing if he did.)
I’m not sure if all the details above are relevant. Well, if he’s implicitly suggesting that the Pelosi and the Democrats are pursuing impeachment because they hate the POTUS, I can see why Pelosi and other Democrats don’t see this as a good faith question. But I do think the Pelosi and Democrats should explain why impeachment is not about personal animus towards Trump.
Helpful contextual details that I didn’t know from a WaPo op-ed about this incident:
One of the things every Catholic child is taught is that the word “hate” should never be used in connection with another human being.
This admonition flows from the expansive Catholic interpretation of the Fifth Commandment. In a General Audience last year in St. Peter’s Square, Pope Francis declared that to hate is to murder in your heart.
All of which explains House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) reaction when James Rosen, a journalist for conservative Sinclair Broadcast Group, asked her: “Do you hate the president, Madam Speaker?”
“Was that a reporter? Was that what reporters do?”
NEW: Trump regularly talked to Giuliani and others on un-secure lines and gave foreign leaders including Johnson, Erdogan and Macron his cell number, creating an op-sec nightmare aides tried & failed to curb. W/ @jdawsey1@nakashimae@gregpmiller: https://t.co/ACNVOtpLip
In light of President Trump's communications with Giuliani on unsecured devices – keep in mind that foreign governments know a lot of the answers that members of Congress have asked the President to share with our own government.
WATCH: Trump decries the fact that “laws allow a baby to be born from his or her mother’s womb in the 9th month,” and says “it is wrong, it has to change.” It’s unclear if Trump is calling for forced abortions or for delaying births until the 10th month.pic.twitter.com/T4YOw3QD2D
A lot of times when Trump misspeaks, I can sort of figure out what he meant to say. It may take some work, but I can sort of get there. Not all of them indicate mental deterioration. Mind you, the statement often justify some concern. But what he says here perplexed me more than normal. The only thing I can think of is that he meant to say “abortion” in the 9th month. But he says, “baby to be born.” That seems not just a small mistake that anyone could make. He’s really confused or makes an odd error.
The 434-page report from Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz found the FBI had an “authorized purpose” when it initiated its investigation, known as Crossfire Hurricane, into the Trump campaign, and rejected the assertion that the case was opened out of political animus or that informants were used in violation of FBI rules.
Chris Wallace on Fox News on the DOJ IG report: "The headline is that they didn't find the things that Bill Barr and Donald Trump alleged." pic.twitter.com/bWVoJmLxp6
It doesn't speak well of Durham–who, recall, closed the CIA investigations w/o public explanation–that he agreed to put out this conclusory p.r. release today. He should let his work speak for itself–but now, in contrast to Horowitz, he's made himself look like a Barr stooge. https://t.co/ZwpOUND4kv
What the heck is Durham doing? Federal prosecutors aren’t supposed to make public statements in the middle of an ongoing investigation. https://t.co/LYtdRjNGlJ
These two tweets by a law professor and a former federal prosecutor make me a little queasy. My sense was Durham had a good reputation for being non-partisan professional. These tweets suggest he is not acting that way. I feel uneasy because seeing the DOJ/FBI operate in a more political, partisan way pains me. And if DOJ or FBI did that with the Trump and his campaign, that would make me feel equally uneasy and disappointed.
Another tweet:
Why is he commenting on the incomplete findings of an ongoing investigation he is conducting? This is totally inappropriate and a sign of real rot setting in at DOJ. Shut up until you’re finished. https://t.co/fLRg5HKr09
Barr opens with “Noting is more important than the integrity and credibility of the FBI and Department of Justice.” His actions, now and in the past, do not support this.
For example,
Indeed. Not only did Barr call it "spying."
He cast the aspersion on the senior leaders of the FBI way back in April 2019 before Senate:
"I think spying did occur … I think there was probably a failure among the group of leaders there at the upper echelon." https://t.co/CYfJKLsZtK
FBI Director, Chris Wray’s, response seems to fall in line with IG report:
BREAKING: FBI Dir. Chris Wray "The inspector general did not find political bias or improper motivations impacting the opening" of Russia probe, "or the decision to use certain investigative tools."@PierreTABC: "Included FISA?"
Ordinarily if an AG publicly announced during a pending investigation that his own FBI had improperly spied for political purposes, and then that turned out to be false, the AG would resign because he would have zero remaining credibility or moral leadership ability.
Ditto if he lied and said a report exonerated the President & concealed it from the public, but when it got out we learned the President had obstructed justice on multiple occasions.
Regarding FBI director’s comments about the IG report:
I don’t know what report current Director of the FBI Christopher Wray was reading, but it sure wasn’t the one given to me. With that kind of attitude, he will never be able to fix the FBI, which is badly broken despite having some of the greatest men & women working there!
I don’t know what is proper or improper for an AG. But based on the little I know, and from what I’ve read and seen, at minimum Barr has created an impression that he is not acting in a non-partisan way–he has made his actions appear political.
This is a must read from the least political man I know. Judge Webster is a person of the greatest integrity. When he feels compelled to pen such a forceful op-ed, something must be deeply wrong. https://t.co/LYmAHgplbU
Christianity Today: "The president of the United States attempted to use his political power to coerce a foreign leader to harass and discredit one of the president’s political opponents… it is profoundly immoral." https://t.co/bo4FveGC7W
You knew Trump was going to respond with anger at this:
….have a Radical Left nonbeliever, who wants to take your religion & your guns, than Donald Trump as your President. No President has done more for the Evangelical community, and it’s not even close. You’ll not get anything from those Dems on stage. I won’t be reading ET again!
Others have noted how this reveals his transactional nature–I did something good for you, so you have do something good for me, regardless of any other consideration. In this case, the other considerations are Trump’s corruption and immorality. This attitude was also revealed in his outrage at Rep. Dingell.
Americans ask themselves if they want a POTUS who thinks this way. The economy is doing well, so you need to overlook my corruption and abuse of power.
The other thing that stands out. Anyone that says or does something that puts Trump in a bad light will become, in Trump’s eyes, the worst person. And I notice he will label them as part of a group that is biased against him–Obama holdovers, Never Trumpers, Liberals. These labels are often inaccurate, but it doesn’t matter to Trump. I’m pretty sure if Fox News or someone like Rush Limbaugh, Rudy Giuliani or any of his strongest supporters turn on him, the same thing will happen. If his family turns on him, I wouldn’t be surprised if he gives them the same treatment.
He is not the sickness. He is a symptom of a sickness that began before him, which is the hyper-politicization of the American church. This is a danger for all of us, wherever we fall on the political spectrum. Jesus said we should give to Caesar what is Caesar’s and to God what is God’s. With profound love and respect, we ask our brothers and sisters in Christ to consider whether they have given to Caesar what belongs only to God: their unconditional loyalty.
He will say whatever that helps him. Mueller and Comey can become Democrats or Never Trumpers. He can make up whatever he wants and so far there’s little consequences for this.
This guy said it better:
He'll go after war vets. He'll go after the FBI. He'll go after your deceased loved ones. He'll go after people with disabilities. He'll go after Christianity Today. And he'll go after you, too. Just wait. Because he has no loyalty. He's not pro-American. He's pro-himself.
Just to add, the arguments used in the editorial are consistent with what I know of the Religious Right’s political positions. That is, the arguments are conservative, not liberal. It’s the support of Trump that violates many of the stated beliefs and principles of the Religious Right.
There is still bit of idealism within me, and maybe I’m being a sucker, but I found this podcast featuring Rep. Slotkin almost inspiring. I believed her. I hope I’m not being duped, but if I’m not, it’s politicians like her that give me hope in America.
On today’s Daily: The impeachment of President Donald J. Trump. How a fractious Democratic Party, which started off a year ago divided over impeachment, ultimately united around it. https://t.co/full2eeaap
What I’m about to say is not meant as an insult–I think Trump intellectual capacity is surprisingly low, as is his understanding of things you would expect a president to know. Here’s one of several examples:
Nancy Pelosi is looking for a Quid Pro Quo with the Senate. Why aren’t we Impeaching her?
I would put this up there with public remarks like “Trade wars are easy to win;” “Who knew health care was so complex?” and maybe even comments about how we should have taken Iraqi oil. What’s an alternate explanation is that is plausible?
My understanding is that the U.S. economy is doing well, but this is an important caveat.
Hey, for a happy new year, check out the ten charts that no one cares about, but everyone should. Trump has added, wait for it, almost $5 TRILLION to the national debt. (But Gorsuch!…right, Republicans?) @BudgetHawkshttps://t.co/7eRtF2aLI2pic.twitter.com/jOE0PUVV7R
Comparison: If Bernie Sanders became POTUS, and everyone got free health care, free college and childcare, etc., but taxes went up significantly or the deficit/debt did.
I didn’t read this, but I’m getting sense that anti-Semitism on the upswing. It’s awful. As far as I know, Trump has rarely or vociferously spoken out about this. He could easily tweet: ” People of every faith, ethnicity, sexual orientation, gender should be respected. There’s no place for anti-semitism in this country,” or something to that effect.
Someone said that a lot of books will be written about Trump’s tweets. That sounds right to me. In my view, Trump’s tweets, or words in general, evoke a lot of reactions. Indeed, one common effect is speechlessness–I’m stunned, overwhelmed, and don’t know where to begin. Commenting on one thing suggests this is the most noteworthy or troubling part of the tweet, but that is often not the case. Choosing the most troubling aspect is extremely difficult, because there are often several aspect that are troubling.
Trump’s rhetoric (and actions) also stun me because an intelligent adult would not speak and act this way. Similarly, I do not expect a leader of a liberal democracy to speak and act this way. This huge incongruence fries my brains. His words and actions make sense if he were a 10 year old boy. I would not be stunned and confused if he were a dictator in an autocracy. It is difficult and uncomfortable, even after several years, of understanding Trump in this way. He’s a 70 year old man, the POTUS. It’s hard to believe such a person can speak and act the way he does.
(Note: I erroneously posted this a few days ago in the Journal (5) thread.)
There are many moments where one could justifiably say, “Trump seems to be more unhinged; things are different, etc.” Sometimes when people say this I feel they’re not describing anything new–they’re describing what has been normal for a while. At the same time, I can understand why they would say that. Sometimes one can feel more shock and concern, while not really knowing why this specific incident or moment is more shocking and concerning than many other, previous incidents and moments. That’s how I felt yesterday (and today). Someone made a list of the incidents that occurred yesterday and the day before:
If you haven’t seen video or read articles of the incidents above, it may not seem as bad. And really, maybe the situation isn’t more dire, maybe Trump isn’t more unhinged than a month or a year ago. But I’m feeling that way. Maybe the threat and concern can’t really have great impact all the time, so it only occurs and different times, triggered by specific events that may not be more significant than previous ones?
Whatever the case may be, I’m feeling a little more worried–the realization that our liberal democracy is slipping; that it is under attack. I think the recent news about Trump giving special authority to investigate the start of the Russia investigation is what worries me the most. For more details on this, here’s a comment from someone who claims to have worked for WH and DOJ. (It was retweeted by someone I trust, Asha Rangappa.)
I think this alarm bells should be ringing–the press and former officials in government, including the Trump administration, should be doing the ringing.
Some comments about this:
1. Put aside the possibility that Russia has compromising material on Trump or that Trump doesn’t want to anger Putin because he wants to do personal business with him. It’s clear to me that Trump can’t put aside his ego. It seems like he can’t separate his electoral victory from Russian interference. That is, to push back against Russia would be equivalent to invalidating his victory. How does this not make him unfit? How is this not a failure in a fundamental duty as POTUS?
2. Mueller’s quote and remarks in general reject the claim that the Russian investigation was a hoax and witch hunt. Either Mueller or Trump is wrong. They both can’t be right.
3. I’m not sure what Trump means by “Russia disappeared” but they’re still a threat, and we should take what they did seriously.
4. “I had nothing to do with Russia helping me get elected” He seems to admit that they did help him here. Was that a slip? Also, he’s right if you don’t think welcoming Russia to release Hillary’s missing emails, meeting with Russian representatives relating to the campaign is equivalent to “nothing to do.”
Evidence that Trump Acts like an Arsonist and Firefighter
The phrase comes from Greg Sargent:
The next sequence of tweets are Juliette Kayyem predicting what was going to happen.
Thread from May 30, 2019 from Juliette Kayyem:
Earlier today:
Recently,
6/22/2019
House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) Hearing Today
Some tweets on the hearing:
For me, this is a transparently bad attempt to erode trust in the New York Times (and possibly the mainstream media in general). It’s also possible that this is Trump’s 9 year old MO of lashing out in frustration.
I wonder how many other people think this is a very lame attempt at trying to undermine the paper. Or will Trump’s use of “Failing New York Times” actually cause some to think less of the paper? Will they actually believe the Times has actually revealed top secret cybersecurity maneuvers by the U.S. government? Do people really believe the Times is the enemy of the people?
By the way, a lot of this feels like projection–
“failing,”
“virtual act of treason,”
“desperate for a story any story, even if bad for our Country,”
“anything goes for our CORRUPT,” and
“They will do, or say, whatever it takes, with not even the slightest thought of consequence! These are true cowards and without doubt, THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!”
All of this alludes to Trump himself in my opinion.
Edit
Also, the tweet is confusing and non-sensical:
On the theme of 9 year old MO, this maneuver should be added–the “ole I hardly knew him” trick:
When a young child tries to distance themselves from a guilty party, they don’t realize that adult they’re speaking to knows this the claim is false (i.e., the child has strong ties to the guilty person). Does this seem like what’s going on with Trump? Anyone loosely following this story knows the claim is false or at least totally ineffective. Trump may indeed not know Sondland really well, but he picked him to be Ambassador to the EU. Not knowing Sondland well doesn’t really provide cover for Trump (and I feel silly for writing this as it seems pretty obvious to me).
Some other techniques that Trump employs:
Call a person saying or doing something damaging to Trump a Democrat or Never Trumper–ignoring the fact that neither is false.
“Do you think the people will demand I stay longer?”
Imagine if Obama said this, even facetiously. GOP would be calling for his head.
A reminder that Stalin used the line “Enemy of the People,” and later I believe Khrushchev banned it’s use because it was so corrosive.
Disappointing and Sickening, Really
This is at campaign rally, kicking off Trump 2020.
(This is the kind of thing that makes it virtually impossible to seriously voting for Rubio for POTUS.)
This would be great if it was a line from a political satire:
Is this a big deal?
A professor on authoritarianism, Ruth Ben-Ghiat, seems to think so:
I’m not sure, but I’m also not an expert on authoritarians. My reaction, though, is that the video is odd, and inappropriate. Can you imagine Obama or W, Clinton or any POTUS doing something similar? At best, it speaks badly of Trump–his personality, mental well-being, maybe. It suggests significant insecurity, maybe narcissism, and even a lack of a awareness that this is something inappropriate.
I can’t rule out that he’s preparing his followers for staying in power after his term, he’s made at least one other comment publicly before (ostensibly joking).
None of your business?
Trump is the POTUS, representing our country and our country’s interests when he meets Putin. He’s not a businessman or private citizen. There are some things that he should not and need not disclose, but it is the business of the American people to know what the POTUS plans to discuss, generally, with the President of Russia.
I’m very uncomfortable with this type of statement, especially coming from someone in a prominent position:
The statement basically undermines the notion that the SCOTUS acts in a non-partisan way. Maybe this is naive of me to even suggest this, but if the general belief is that the SCOTUS and judicial branch makes decisions based on partisanship, I think that really undermines the legitimacy of the courts. If I were a senator and I decided to air these views, I would have to feel confident that the SCOTUS is totally political, and maybe broken in some significant way.
Thoughts on this Thread
1. No class.
2. Great leaders take responsibility for their actions, and the organizations they oversee. Trump is at the other end of that spectrum.
Thread:
Yeah, the ending was a kicker.
7/28/2019
This is a good point. He speaks more harshly about Rep. Cummings and other Americans of color than dictators that are actually brutal. I think you could add Kim Jong Un, Duterte, Assad, or the Saudi crown prince killing the journalist. One counter to this is that the POTUS has to be diplomatic with other world leaders. While this is true, other presidents have harshly condemned actions by dictators. Again, my sense is that Trump will criticize Americans, or anyone who is critical of him, more than dictators or individuals who really deserve harsh criticism. He also seems to target people of color.
Evidence 653 that the President really has the mind and maturity of a child
If there is an alternate, plausible, explanation for this behavior, I’d like to hear it. Even if he’s governing the nation as a reality TV show, that’s not an explanation that dispels the impression that he acts and thinks like a child. This tweet is on the “nanny-nanny-boo-boo” level. It’s also over-the-top horrible to mock a Congressman when his house was robbed.
I’m not sure if this is accurate, but if it is, it’s awful:
Here it is:
I haven’t read the article, but this headline seems really bad:
This headline not only creates a positive impression of Trump which is undeserved on this issue, but it creates the impression that he’s acting like normal, responsible politician. They use the word “urge,” which is much more earnest and genuine sounding than the neutral “calls.” I assume the writer(s) of this headline follows the news closely; I would be surprised if they actually think this characterization is credible. There is far more evidence that Trump actually wants to keep the nation divided than wanting to unify it.
I haven’t been following today’s news closely enough to know what these tweets are referring to specifically, but the tweets are not good.
The tweets also triggered a thought I had today about the way I think people develop an understanding of our politics, particularly those who don’t follow the news closely. My sense is that a lot comes down to heuristics. One sort of obvious example, and it may not even qualify as a heuristic, is a catastrophe to signal that a politician is doing a bad job. I thought of this specifically in relation to Trump. My sense is that many Americans don’t realize how bad he is as a president. One of the few things that could possibly change this is a catastrophic event–e.g., financial crisis or use of a nuclear weapon–especially if one can reasonably draw a line from Trump’s rhetoric or actions to that catastrophe. This is not a good way for people to find out that the POTUS is unfit, though.
Here are more details:
One angle on Trump that has been at the forefront of my mind recently: He doesn’t have the capacity to put the country or other people ahead of himself. It’s all about him. He can never be the bigger person. And all of this is manifesting itself in a way that makes him seem like a child. The problem is significant enough that it is one of many things that makes him unfit and incapable of doing the job.
In reference to a NYT headline:
Another tweet:
“Trump offers no moral leadership; he seems to have no interest in unifying the nation; no evidence that the presidency has awakened his conscience in the least.”
“Indeed we have a president with a toxic tongue, who has publicly and unapologetically embraced the political strategy of hate, racism, and division.”
Just want to add that intelligence chiefs have repeatedly mentioned in public that Russia is trying to sow discord and widen divisions in our country. Trump knows this, but he’s still using an approach that aids their efforts. Whatever the reason for him doing this, it seems appropriate to say he’s betraying the country.
8/8/2019
This is a what Trump tweeted as he visited a city that experienced a tragedy. (There’s music on this, too.)
Not only evidence for the claim that the “the presidency has awakened his conscience,” but it’s evidence that something is not right with this guy.
edit
On several occasions I’ve mentioned the way Trump’s words and actions will leave me stunned and speechless, often because my mind can’t seem to accept reality and the number and layers of problems I have with what I’m hearing. I’ve struggled to articulate this reaction (including right now), but I recently read a few sentences that resonated with me:
Whether this makes someone a white nationalist or not, I’m not sure. I am sure that anyone that does the above behaves and speaks like a white nationalist. And if they continue to do so they either are a white nationalist, or they don’t care if anyone thinks that they are.
Also, politicians, pundits, and media outlets that are silent or don’t push back against this are basically enabling white nationalist views.
Thought: What if General Mattis, General McMaster, and Secretary Tillerson hold a press conference saying he’s worried that the President is unstable and thinks he poses a threat to the country.
And then suppose a prominent individual from the administration resigns and holds a press conference saying the same thing.
And then this leads to other people coming out saying the same thing.
In my opinion, this is the kind of thing that could be a game-changer. One, it could really get the attention of the general public, especially those who don’t really follow the news closesly. Two, Republicans on Capitol Hill could finally do something.
In my opinion, one person saying what Scaramucci says is not enough. We need a bunch of them, doing this one after the other, like a cascade or a the breaking of a dam.
It could matter at the Congressional level but it’s not going to matter among his supporters, which is all he cares about. And the Mooch is certainly not the guy to be carrying this flag, sorry as I am to say it.
In addition to having an impact on Congress, I think it could really impact those the casual news consumer. I also don’t think of the Trump supporter as a monolith. The die-hard supporter won’t be affected by this, but I don’t think all of them are die-hard supporters.
I do agree that Mooch is not the best guy. But the guy who initiates the process isn’t as important. It’s the cascade that occurs after that, hopefully. For example, if that happened right after Mattis resigned. (Alas, it did not.)
I kind of thought everyone knew that the point of hanging is the quick snapping of the neck. When I read the headline about broken neck bones, I knew it was suicide.
From what I recall, the problem wasn’t just a broken neck, but the number(?) of bones or the specific ones that seemed unusual for a hanging. (But I’m not sure if those who felt this way had any medical training.)
One of many examples as to why someone would question Trump’s fitness and mental state.
Contemplation of invoking the 25th amendment is not irrational in my opinion.
I can’t read the article, but if this quote is accurate, the first thought that came to mind: Trump is acting with impunity. He’s confident Senate GOP wouldn’t convict him, and that Dems in the House are reluctant to impeach. Second thought: GOP is just as unfit to govern as Trump.
Promoting his resort for a site for G& summit, using what I assume is the official White House account. One of many things that the right and Fox News would be going bonkers over if Hillary or Obama did something like this.
Thread.
No one will be able to say that people weren’t ringing the alarm bells about the danger President Trump posed to the nation and the world, or that he was incredibly unfit to do the job.
However, my sense is that the overall coverage of Trump, especially in mainstream press, did not really convey this warning. Unless you read the news regularly, I suspect people may think Trump is a clown, but not completely inept, possibly mentally ill, or someone who thinks and governs like a dictator. But maybe I’m wrong.
But when historians look back on this time, they will definitely find many examples of the tweet above. (The Atlantic has had many articles and even entire issues emphasizing this, I believe.)
At what point should one take him seriously on stuff like this:
This is not the only example. At the same time, it’s seems unreasonable to think he’s serious about running for a third term or has a genuine desire to remain as president after two terms. If he didn’t have a lot of other red flags related to authoritarianism, I would say this is inappropriate, but I don’t think I’d take it seriously.
This is going to sound hyperbolic (and I hope this actually turns out to be the case), but our constitutional system–specifically, the rule of law and separation of powers–seems to be gradually eroding. More specifically, the institutions that suppose to ensure and protect this seem to be eroding, and we’re watching this happen in slow motion.
The thread below made me think of this. The Acting Director of National Intelligence is supposed to inform Congress about a complaints by whistleblowers, but the current acting DNI has not done so in the required time, and without giving explanation. (He is one of many acting directors. This is another sign, as Congress is supposed to confirm the people in these positions; Trump seems to be bypassing Congress’s oversight.)
Another bit of news that made me think of this–DOJ trying to prosecute Andrew McCabe, and some of the unusual circumstances surrounding this. (See below.) What’s crucial is that the President has publicly attacked McCabe, which creates the impression that he’s influencing the DOJ to go after one of his enemies.
It feels like a constitutional crisises happening in several places, moving in slow motion.
I’m not sure if this is real:
It appears as if General Mattis has prevented Trump from taking military action using a tactic that one would use only on someone who is remarkably unintelligent. The scary thing is that this is believable. I don’t know whether to chuckle, grimace, or worry–probably all three at the same time.
I had to read the NYT story on this very slowly this morning. It felt very carefully written, as if everyone’s stepping gently around something enormous.
It’s stupid to say this in the middle of a presidency where every day brings new things that make you say “this has to be it, right?”
But this could be it. This feels huge to me. In an oh-my-gosh-we-could-all-be-in-trouble-now kind of way. In a someone-might-have-to-go-to-prison kind of way. I’m not saying this with glee. I am now spooked.
The WaPo story later today said sources talk about Ukraine and possible appeals for help with the reelection campaign. That makes me less spooked, if that’s what it is, but it’s no less serious. I’m half-dreading the news over the next week.
I’ve heard others react this way, and I agree, this sounds significant, and I agree with the reaction on some level. But on another level, I find the reaction odd. Do people think the incident is worse that giving highly classified Israeli intel to the Russians. (I recall that this could have compromised a source as well.)? And what about using an insecure phone?
By the way, David Frum wrote a piece today about this, citing a historical incident that pushed the Founders to include the ability to impeach and remove the Executive in the Constitution. The incident is worth reading about:
Specifically, there’s a sense that Trump administration pressured the Ukranian President to investigate Joe Biden’s son, and that part of this pressure included witholding military aid (?). That’s my understanding, anyway.
I’m curious to know what made you spooked before, and what makes you less spooked now.
Giving away intel, especially another country’s, is super serious but not spookier than actively working against the United States. Neither is looking for dirt on another candidate. I’m not willing to debate this — I’m not downplaying their seriousness. But my mind may have gotten away from me when I pictured what could have been the topic of conversation.
Also, if that’s what it is, I don’t know if it qualifies as “urgent,” as the inspector general says it is. That word “urgent” and the verification by the IG that the whistleblower’s case is legit makes this all sound way more serious to me, a position I’m still standing on.
Plus, a whistleblower case feels like a direct legal action against the officeholder himself and the officeholder’s conduct. Suing to get tax returns is a legal action, but that’s not against the person’s conduct.
It depends on how you define “actively working against the United States.” I could list a lot of things Trump has said and done that I think would qualify. But I think you mean something more explicit–like giving away secrets for financial gain, or something like that? (Then again, I think the chances are very high that he has already done like this, similar to the Charles II example above. At the very least, we can say Trump’s refusal to reveal his tax forms and divest his business makes it almost impossible to verify.)
You’re saying the whistleblower incident involves Trump being charged or prosecuted for a crime? I don’t get that sense.
Good argument by Nichols.
Nichols ends with this:
i’m reeeeeeally not in the mood to dissect any of this for degrees of offense or shades of definition, beyond what i’ve just shared. it feels like having to talk about the most painful feelings to uncomfortable extents. actually it doesn’t feel like it — that’s practically what it is. yes. we can all think of blatant things said and done in plain view of the country on broadcast television. i’m okay with not being able to express the specifics of my concern but i assure you i’m not merely waking up now to this person’s dastardly behavior.
ugh. i can’t believe this is our country.
That was never a question in my mind, for what it’s worth.
More specifically for me–I can’t believe the Congressional Republicans are allowing all of this. I think this might be the most disturbing part of this whole thing, at least for me.
You said, ” it feels like having to talk about the most painful feelings to uncomfortable extents. actually it doesn’t feel like it — that’s practically what it is. ” I agree with you and it makes me think of this tweet I saw today:
The checks and balances don’t work if congressional Republicans don’t want it to work, which is one of the main reasons voters should remove them. I am most shocked, disturbed, and appalled by the congressional Republicans.
I’ve seen several smart people express this sentiment:
I totally understand Rocah’s feelings. Trump behaving the way he is, without any consequences, is really eroding our system of checks and balances and the rule of law. But when I consider the likely end game scenario, impeaching Trump could actually make the situation worse. Here’s my thinking:
1. Suppose Pelosi starts impeaching hearings and House impeaches Trump;
2. The Senate now has to determine if they’re going to acquit or convict and remove him. There’s a possibility that the general public and the Senate would change dramatically, but if not, the Senate would likely acquit Trump;
3. The acquittal could create the impression that Trump really has done nothing to deserve impeachment; it could likely exonerate his behavior. I think this likely would happen to Americans who do not follow the news closely and/or may be confused about who to believe. It’s not an unreasonable conclusion. If Trump really was unfit or did something truly bad, it’s reasonable to assume enough Republicans would remove him;
4. Additionally, impeachment could possibly empower Republicans and Trump politically, leading to increased or the same number of seats in Congress. If this happened, the Republicans would not change–they would continue to put power over principle and the country. This includes undermining key democratic institutions, norms as well as the entire system. If Trump wins a second term, it could also endanger national security.
Of course, there’s no guarantee 3 and 4 will occur. It’s possible that the process of impeachment in the House would really turn the public against Trump, which could turn enough Republicans against Trump. I’m have a hard time imagining something from the impeachment process doing that, given the revelations that should have had that effect already, but didn’t.
So if 3 and 4 are the more likely result, I wonder if people like Rocah would still want Pelosi to proceed with impeachment. I’d like to hear a case for impeachment in spite of 3 and 4.
Ukraine Scandal
Write up of Trump’s phone conversation with the Ukranian president.
Thread:
One important point. My understanding is that if there was “corruption” relating to Joe Biden, there is appropriate (read: non-political, non abuse-of-powers ways) to work with another country to investigate this. When Trump gets more directly involved, it creates impression of…more later
Another thread I agree with:
Another tweet that just leaves me flummoxed:
He really doesn’t think he did anything wrong. A few thoughts:
1. At the very least, he’s creating the appearance that he’s pressuring a country to produce damaging information about a political opponent. This is why there are these norms and procedures between the POTUS and the DOJ/FBI and other intelligence agencies. An executive who would use any of these agencies to go after political enemies (and/or protect himself) is unfit and poses a serious danger to the republic;
2. Someone pointed out that Trump was withholding money, which I believe would be used for defense, particularly against Russia. This has strategic importance to the U.S. If Russia gets more aggressive that can lead to war, which the U.S. would likely have to get involved in. If accurate, Trump would be putting his political interests ahead of the nation’s.
9/27/2019
From Chairperson of Federal Election Commission:
10/16/2019
Unclassified version of the whistleblower’s complaint. (It’s not that long.)
Trump’s comments about this:
9/27/2019
I’m not sure if this is accurate, but…
11/1/2019
Trump really doesn’t think what he said in the call was wrong.
Very little should surprise me about this president, but the fact that he thinks he did nothing wrong is remarkable. One possibility that explains his thinking is that he believes Biden did something wrong, so the means to uncover that doesn’t matter. But there are problems with that: 1) If Biden really did something legitimately wrong, there are appropriate channels to do this; and if he used appropriate channels and they discovered wrongdoing, that would strengthen the claim. Intervening outside of appropriate channels makes the investigation seem political, weakening the legitimacy of the investigation. (Perhaps he doesn’t care about legitimacy–he just wants to hurt his political opponent.); 2) Trump and his family are guilty of the wrongdoing he’s accusing Biden of. How can Biden be guilty while he and his family are not? That doesn’t fly.
More flummoxing
The phone call “could not have been better or more honorable…It wasn’t bad, it was very legal and very good.” Again, he really seems to think that nothing was wrong with the call. Now, I’m not sure about the legal part, but this was not honorable, good, or something that couldn’t have been better. I’m also certain that large numbers of congressional Republicans, if they were honest and candid, would strongly disagree with him. They should be made to publicly state their position on this. What Trump did is wrong and completely inappropriate and unacceptable for the president of a democratic republic. The public should know which politicians and pundits agree and disagree on this.
On a side note, here’s what the POTUS tweeted right before that:
We can make fun of this and laugh, but ultimately I see this as one of many indications that something is not right with him. In a lot of ways, what I’ve seen from Trump reminds me of what I’ve seen from AB. I don’t know if AB has an actual mental disorder, but I have the strong impression that something is not right with him. His behavior is not normal, and having a mental disorder would explain it. I feel the same about Trump. The phrase “mad king” comes to mind.
Speaking of “mad king,” a little later he tweeted this:
Doubling down
11/11/2019
Today:
It really does seem like he really believes he did nothing wrong–which is really damning in my view. And it’s not just this call, but the actions behind the scenes involving his lawyer, Rudy Giuliani.
I feel like now would be a good time for Mattis, Tillerson, Coats, Bolton, Cohn, and McMaster to publicly speak out against Trump–with maybe Mattis doing this on one day followed by the others, one after the other. I think this could be a bombshell that causes the damn to break (i.e., precipitating defections en masse), or at least quash Trump’s narrative and the efforts to promote it. Death blow.
The article below on political cascades does a great job of explaining my underlying thinking on this:
The following is meaningful and I appreciate it, but I don’t think it spark a political cascade. (About a thousand former federal prosecutors signed a letter saying POTUS would have been indicted if not for rule that POTUS can’t be indicted in office. That didn’t seem to have much effect.)
I guess we’ve given up on Romney voicing his conscience? I feel like a sitting Republican senator might be more effective. Your average member of the electorate doesn’t even know who McMaster is.
I haven’t completely given up on Romney or other Republicans (e.g., Senator Collins, Murkowski) from speaking because of their conscience, but their response to Trump thus far doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence.
And if sitting Congress people would speak out strongly–like Rep. Justin Amash–that would absolutely have impact. However, in my view, what’s critical is a group of them, coming out in a cascade. One solitary voice, like Amash, trickling out with long intervals in between–that seems to have minimal impact. (See Sen. Corker and Sen. Flake.)
Finally, while many casual news consumers may not know McMaster, or Mattis, Tillerson, Cohn, Coats, Bolton–if they sound the alarm bells, I think the coverage will identify who they are and convey that seriousness of this.
(Side note: McMaster may not be the most effective messenger, unless he publicly admits his error.
I applaud Romney for saying this. We need more Republicans to come out and say the same, though. Or Romney has to keep repeating this, emphatically doing so. What I would like to see: A press conference where a group of Republican Congress people–such as Lamar Alexander, James Lankford, Richard Burr, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Ben Sasse, Adam Kinzinger, Will Hurd, etc.–come out a clearly denounce the actions of Trump. They can say they support a lot of Trump’s policies. They can even say they don’t think he should be impeached (at this time), but they should say that Trump’s conversation with the Ukranian President totally wrong and unacceptable.
By the way, I agree with what Frum says below:
Any Republican (or conservative pundit) that plays a key role in pushing back or effectively stopping Trump–e.g., spearheading a Republican revolt against Trump, helping bring Republicans and Democrats together to oppose Trump , mitigating divisions in the country, etc.–will be remembered as a hero and a significant historical figure in my opinion.
This type of tweet below, won’t age well:
He’ll focus on thosee things while ignoring the President urging Ukraine to investigate his main political opponent and the opponent’s son, withholding critical military aid that Urkaine needs to defend itself against Russia. There’s also enormous corruption–specifically, Trump using his office to enrich himself. Also lingering questions about counter-intel threat Trump poses to the country. Rubio implies these things are unsubstantial, and I think history will judge him, and others like him, harshly for this.
Trump didn’t want Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden because he cared about corruption–example 278:
Example 279
Example 280
Totally unsurprising.
I totally agree with the article below. It also includes a quick summary of the DNC server and crowdstrike issue that Trump mentioned in his phone call with the Ukranian president.
Trump’s laughable claim that he cared about Ukranian corruption
From WaPo: Trump and Mulvaney’s claim that corruption concerns held up Ukraine aid
I think checking facts is important, but I have problems with the way journalists do factchecking. But I liked the tack WaPo took here. They first cited DoD assessment of corruption in Ukraine. (I believe DoD has to do this before signing off on military aid, or something to that effect.) Their assessment was that Ukraine was taking good steps to end or reduce corruption. They then looked to see if the White House did any assessment, in which to disagree with DoD. Nope. Nada. They give Trump (and Mulvaney) four Pinocchios. (Note: Did Trump and Mulvaney make a claim that wasn’t factual? That seems wrong. Their claim was not believable, for some of the reasons they list, but that doesn’t make the claim not a fact.)
Also,
Finally, and I think I mentioned this before. Look at Trump, his family and his cabinet–it will be clear that he doesn’t care about corruption–unless his political opponent does it.
Thread on “legitimizing propaganda”
In response to the GOP complaining about the secret hearings conducted by Democrats:
The details in the following article should really be bad for Trump, but in a way, it could be good.
I say “good” because if Russian oligarchs have ties to Trump and his associates like Giuliani than I think that just makes the story way more confusing for the average American. For one thing, this adds more players to the story, and like a 19th century Russian novel, this can make keeping track of what’s going on more difficult. Secondly, I worry that many Americans may not understand potential significance (and threat) of Trump having ties to Russian oligarchs. The oligarchs may be rich and even corrupt. So what? There are rich corrupt Americans, too. Yes, that’s not a good thing if the POTUS has some ties with them, but Trump’s a businessman, and I suspect many will accept and tolerate him having ties to corrupt individuals.
The thing is, the corruption in Russia can involve ties to organized crime and the Russian government; and the nature of the tie may involve assistance with money laundering and other illicit practices that can be used as blackmail against Trump and his associates with those ties.
I’ll stop here and acknowledge that what I said sounds like a crazy conspiracy theory. I will mention some things that others can check out for themselves. First, the idea that Russian organized criminals, oligarchs or even Russian banks, etc. launder money in the west is something that happens, regardless of if Trump got involved with a scheme like this. Second, one should ask if there is any evidence that Trump, prior to becoming president, may have been involved with this sort of activity. If both are true, one may think the notion is less far-fetched. But then again, maybe not. I will say accepting even the possibility is not easy–because it seems crazy that this could be happening to someone who is the POTUS. This is another advantage that Trump has.
Trump’s loathing for Urkaine
(This is according to officials who spoke anonymously, but it’s not hard to believe.)
At best, it seems like Trump’s animosity towards Ukraine stems from a conspiracy theory–namely that Ukraine worked with the DNC to take down Trump–but it’s unclear what Trump means by this or why he believes this. (It seems like Trump is tying the conspiracy theory that Crowdstrike attempted to frame the Russian government for hacking the DNC).
I think the bottom line (or one of them) is that Trump is putting his hatred towards Ukraine ahead of U.S. interests; and his hatred is based on a conspiracy theory.
Also, hating Ukraine–accusing them of interfering with the election, instead of the Russians–not giving military aid to them–all of this benefits Russia.
Edit
If they think what Trump did is truly deserving of impeachment, their silence is deplorable. Why? In my view, what’s critical about the situation we’re in are the people and institutions that inform and signal to the public whether something is seriously wrong or not. Did Trump really do something that warrants impeachment? Or is this a bogus charge driven almost entirely by politics–i.e., a witch hunt? My sense is that a very large number of Americans are uncertain and confused about this; and they will continue to be confused and uncertain as long as the Republicans and Democrats take opposite positions, and both sides are equally loud and adamant. However, if enough Republicans and conservative pundits agree with Democrats–especially those who supported Trump–then I think many of these Americans won’t be so confused and uncertain–they’ll support impeachment and removal.
Having said that, I do think this is more complicated. News could actually generate increased public opposition to Trump and that could cause Republicans and conservative pundits to turn against Trump, which will lead to more Americans turning against Trump. The issue isn’t either/or. The public’s shift could change Republicans and the Republicans’ shift could change the public. Both could happen simultaneously and feed into each other.
I believe there are many congressional Republicans who know that Trump is totally unfit and that he did many impeachable things. If a handful of them expressed this, it could make a difference, especially if set off a chain reaction. The same applies to former and current officials in the Trump administration. If Mattis, McMaster, Tillerson, Cohn, et al., had a press conference tomorrow saying Trump’s behavior warrants impeachment, that could set off a chain reaction–in the public opinion as well within conservative sphere.
If this is accurate, the silence of these individuals is disappointing at best, and a kind of betrayal of the country at worst.
This is worse, if true:
Trump and his supporters, including some congressional Republicans, are saying this is Fake News, the Democrats want to usurp voters, a witch hunt. All these claims would be destroyed if those 35 Senators mentioned above would speak up! Same with Mattis, Tillerson, Kelly, McMaster, Cohn, Coats, et al. This is not to say that Trump would lose all support. But most of the support would be the fanatics, which I think would be significantly smaller than the rest of the country.
Decide for yourself if Trump’s congressional defenders have a strong case. To me, they’re trying to defend the indefensible.
Here’s the type of argument they’re apparently going to use:
This is going to be an obviously dumb argument to most Americans, I hope.
Unfortunately, I don’t think this is far off:
On a related note, I wonder how the press will cover something like this, especially if Trump administration pursues this more vigorously:
From WaPo: State Dept. intensifies email probe of Hillary Clinton’s former aides
A senior State Dept. official claims this is a process started before the Trump administration and the WH has nothing to do with this, but that is hard to believe. This the problem when Trump who publicly attacks people who are prosecuted or investigated by the federal government. It creates the impression that Trump is ordering or pressuring the departments to do this. (Sorry if that’s obvious, I’m venting here.)
“Nearly every Trump ally’s defense has been an effort to gaslight America.”
Maybe I’m wrong, but I really think most reasonable, fair-minded people who follow the news closely would agree with Rep. Amash. But many people do not follow the news closely–they’re not news junkies, and they have busy lives.
Here’s where the press could (and should) aid these Americans, but their method of creating the appearance of fairness and objectivity is to create an equivalence between the two political parties, using techniques like “he said/she said” journalism. This approach wouldn’t be so problematic if both sides more or less told the truth and operated in good faith to the same degree. The problem occurs when one party operates in a way that is significantly different, operating in bad faith far more than the other. When this happens the balanced approach to covering politics fails to serve the American public, particularly those who aren’t news junkies. And this leads back to Yglesias tweet above.
One last point. I feel like the press could (should?) deal with this problem by presenting evidence showing that one side is worse than the other. The problem is that simply doing this will suggest they’re not being fair. One way to get around this problem is to have a group of liberals and conservatives oversee this process and even have a discussion about this–a discussion that would reveal where the group agrees and disagrees. If both liberals and conservatives ultimately agree that Republicans are being less honest and have more bad faith than Democrats, claiming unfairness and bias would be more difficult.
Thread by Garry Kasparov:
I agree that Trump and his supporters merely want to create doubt and cause confusion. I’m not sure repeating facts is the solution, though. My gut tells me that the better move is to focus on previous claims made by both pro and anti-Trump folks, including the frequency in which the claims were accurate or proved true. They show also make note of outrageous claims, and how often these proved true or false. By presenting these in a way that the public can easily compare, the public can decide which speakers are credible or not.
Of course, the press should also point out when defenders or opponents of Trump make false or dubious claims in the present.
Finally, when evaluating Trump’s rhetoric and actions, with Trump defenders or opponents, I think the press should frame the discussion by asking if the behavior is appropriate for a future presidents, Democrat or Republican, or if the behavior would warrant the end of a presidency. The present position of opponents or defenders should be seen as a position on the standards that will be applied to future presidents. If anyone thinks a future presidency warrants termination for a specific behavior, if the current president behaves in the same way, then his presidency warrants termination now.
Addendum
I just realized a problem with the press providing clear evidence about the credibility of supporters or opponents of Trump. If the evidence overwhelmingly shows that one side is far less credible a) this will create the impression that the press is not being fair (i.e., they’re biased), and b) they will have more difficulty putting the discredited individuals on their news programs. My sense is that the latter would be bad for ratings, and it would create the impression that they’re not being fair.
Evidence that Trump thinks and governs more like an authoritarian than a president of a liberal democracy
If he loses in 2020 or gets impeached, I’m almost certain he will not go quietly–likely loudly questioning the legitimacy of the election or inciting his base by using references to “coup” and “civil war.” No real leader of a liberal democracy would do this.
Additionally, here’s something I hope Americans will consider and examine: Has Trump done or said anything that would cause people who have sworn an oath to protect and defend the U.S. Constitution to be critical or suspicious of Trump? If there are, that weakens Trump’s claims. Also, if any other politician behaved like Trump, what kind of press coverage would you predict? If the answer is “highly negative,” then the problem isn’t the press–it’s Trump.
The country will need Republicans and conservative media to help us out of this mess. If they support Trump’s claims, the country could be in bad shape.
Yesterday:
The second-hand complaint is moot because the White House rough transcript is damning by itself (and is largely consistent with the complaint). Trump genuinely thinks he did nothing wrong in the call (just as he seems to think there’s nothing wrong with accepting “dirt” of his political opponent from other countries, or trying to build a tower in Russia during the election, while casting doubt on Russian interference).
A few days ago, Trump retweeted this quote from Pastor Robert Jeffers:
Also from CNN, Key allegations from the Ukraine whistleblower are true, despite what Trump says
GOP placing great importance in identifying the whistleblower. Is there any legitimate reason for doing this
Here’s a situation where I think anger would be justified and a desire to out the whistleblower would be understandable–namely, if the complaint was trivial, creating the impression that it was a political hit job. Or maybe if the POTUS was completely innocent.
But in this case, the complaint, if true, would be a big deal–something that would potentially end any other presidency, justifiably so. Trump also released a WH summary the phone call that is largely consistent with the whistleblower. Witnesses also seem consistent with the whistleblower. Really, all that seems left is to decide if what the President did is acceptable and warrants impeachment and/or removal. I don’t see how that identity of the whistleblower is relevant.
This seems like a plausible explanation for the behavior of Republicans and conservatives who have been principled and patriotic–who genuinely cared about the rule of law, separation of powers, and national security–They see Democrats as far more of a threat than Trump. They will tolerate his corruption, incompetence, mental instablity because their blinded by the notion that the Democrats are worse. Nothing Trump can do will be worse than Democrats….Now, I have a hard time believing this is literally the case, but it doesn’t seem far off. I’ll put it this way: I have a hard time imagining what Trump could do that would make Republicans turn against him.
On a related note,
Also, I remember when interviews asked him about Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte’s handling of drug problem (Duterte was ordering extra-judicial killings.) Trump said, “He’s doing it the right way.”
I worry as the country moves closer to impeachment, Trump’s rhetoric and behavior is going to get more erratic and extreme.
Trump’s now urging China to investigate the Bidens.
Thoughts:
–Who thinks he will protect the elections from foreign interference, which includes foreign adversaries providing dirt, accurate or not, on political opponents). It’s very difficult to not see his lack of actions on shoring up election equipment and pushing back on Russian interference as a sign that he’s open to this, and indirectly welcoming it. If true this would be something that makes him unfit and warrants the end of his presidency;
–This is a time where Republicans like Romney need to forcefully condemn the POTUS from publicly urging other countries to investigate his political opponents. To be silent is to allow this behavior to become the norm;
–Trump complains about the whistleblower’s “secondhand information.” Trump’s public comments above support the WB’s complaint;
–The idea that Trump wants the Biden’s investigated because he cares about corruption is absurd. And if it’s OK to investigate children of his political opponents for corruption, it should OK to investigate his children. Addtionally, if corruption shi
Who believes Trump really cares about ending corruption? (I guess the same people who believe he’s “draining the swamp?”)
Good response:
Anyone who digs up news reports about Trump’s golf courses and hotels and the business of his children–since he’s been in office–or scandals involving his cabinet–I can’t imagine such a person will take Trump seriously about caring about corruption.
Another thing: He’s not obligated to end corruption in other countries. Speak out against, sure. But, again, I can’t recall him speaking out about the corruption of other countries. And he seems to have a strong desire of getting along with Russia, but doesn’t seem concerned about their corruption.
Finally, my understanding is that there are proper channels for DOJ to get involved with corruption issues in other countries, and Trump has bypassed those (e.g., using his personal lawyer). When it comes to U.S. citizens, the POTUS should target them, or make public statements that suggests that he is. The POTUS should allow DOJ/FBI to handle this with independence, certainly not use these agencies to go after political enemies.
At what point does one consider “ravings of a mad King” is actually an accurate description rather than a glib, partisan cheap shot?
More evidence that the ravings and madness may be real. Or it could be just evidence of gross incompetence:
100% agree with the op-ed below:
This is unnerving, in a Constitutional crisis way.
From WaPo, White House escalates standoff with Congress, says it will not cooperate with impeachment inquiry of Trump
On a related note,
The argument is persuasive for me–but that’s also because I think there is a lot of other evidence that warrant impeachment and removal. In a way, I don’t know if the tweets cited by Nichols is sufficient. While they may be, they can also be seen as reinforcing Trump’s unfitness–a level of unfitness that would warrant impeachment.
I didn’t see the video, but if it’s as bad as it sounds–this is so wrong.
Agree with the tweet below:
Trump isn’t even trying to be a leader, someone trying to unite the country. Also, his attacks on the press, including describing them as “the enemy of the people,” is another indication of his authoritarian approach to governing. It’s reprehensible.
10/14/2019
Here’s the video:
I might pump the brakes just a little here. If the video (and I won’t watch it so this is just speculation) was clearly meant to be a joke, I don’t think the takeaway is necessarily an endorsement of violence. I didn’t think much of Kathy Griffin’s decapitation joke, and I understood a lot of the outrage, but Griffin is a comic — nobody takes what she says as instructive or any kind of doctrine.
I absolutely think it’s in poor taste and I’m also disgusted by it, but is it reprehensible?
Yes, and I disturbing–I would be surprised if you disagree (if you watched it). I’ll describe a few things, since you don’t plan on watching it. The video uses a graphically violently, shoot ’em up clip from the movie, The Kingsman–not only do we see Trump graphically killing the news media, but President Obama, and Hillary Clinton as well.
I can’t imagine any POTUS not forcefully disavowing and denouncing this video.
Context:
Also, it’s worth mentioning the shooting in the Baltimore(?) newsroom. Wasn’t there a bomb scare at CNN as well?
Prof Ben-Ghiat studies authoritarians (or at least wrote a book on Mussolini):
Ruth Ben-Ghiat on CNN Tonight: Don Lemon 10-02-19 – Vid 4 from Ruth Ben-Ghiat on Vimeo.
I saw a tweet of Trump insisting on knowing the identity of the whistleblower. Some thoughts about Trump’s thought process:
1. Trump wholeheartedly believes the phone call to the Ukranian president, and using Giuliani, Sondland, Pence, et al. to pressure Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son, is perfectly acceptable. Maybe he believes it’s OK because every president or politician does this or should do this.
2. If this is true, then he may believe the whistleblower is simply trying to create the appearance that Trump did something awful–like how the GOP made a big deal about Benghazi debacle. That is, the GOP mostly made a big deal to hurt Hillary Clinton (and Obama) politically.
3. If this is true, then Trump would think the whistleblower isn’t really a whistleblower–i.e., the person doesn’t have a legitimate concern–s/he is engaging in political/information warfare. Therefore the person doesn’t deserve protection.
If all of this is true, this is really damning in my opinion–specifically if #1 is true. It is one of many examples that reveal a very authoritarian mindset and approach to governing. Most Republican congresspersons would strongly disagree with Trump–at least before Trump was elected.
I think it’s pretty clear that #1 is true, based on Trump’s comments–and the fact that the WH released a summary of the phone conversation, ostensibly thinking it would vindicate Trump. The question is, does Congress and the American people believe it’s acceptable for the POTUS to pressure another country to find political damaging information on a political opponent? Would it be OK if the POTUS sacrifice U.S. interests (in this case, withholding congressionally approved funding that is critical for Ukraine to defend itself against Russia) to do this? Would it be OK if the POTUS accepted dubious information, manufactured by the other country? Or do these actions warrant the end of a presidency?
Reading the article below makes me think of Paul Manafort, specifically the way he lobbied for questionable people. Giuliani seems like a cross between Manafort and Michael Cohen.
Also, the article raises questions about why Trump decided to move U.S. troops away from Kursdish allies.
Watch this:
Republicans like this have to start saying this publicly. Sickening that they’re keeping silent on this. I’m pretty sure large numbers of Americans confused or in the dark about whether Trump actually mentally and emotionally deteriorating. Republicans–or former prominent members of the Trump administration–would make this much clearer for them.
I also recommend watching this:
Putting aside my problems with Pence in the Trump administration, I like what he says here. Before Trump this would have been bolierplate for a POTUS. I miss those days.
Love this. As an American and as someone who admires Gandhi and Dr. Martin Luther King, I approve this message.
Maybe I spoke to soon about Pence. This op-ed by Eugene Scott makes some good points that I forgot about: Mike Pence’s inconsistent support for free speech in professional sports
From the Director of National Intelligence’s office:
I really think you can make a strong case that Trump is and has been violating a lot of this.
Another example revealing Trump’s unfitness:
He’s said this before about Iraqi oil as well. My sense is that he genuinely believes this. And I would be shocked if many people around him haven’t told him this is illegal, and not a good thing to express, as it feeds narrative that U.S. just want to take ME resources.
The lack of self-awareness here is remarkable. It’s delusional, or I’m losing my mind.
To get a sense of the possible serious effects of impeachment, I think this article is worth reading:
AG Bill Barr’s Quest to Investigate the Investigators
Barr assigned John Durham, the AG of Conneticutt, to investigate the investigation of Trump-Russia. (Inspector General of DOJ or FBI has already been reviewing this prior to this appointment.) Durham supposedly had a good reputation, and it would make sense to choose someone like that to ensure public this investigation is not political. But Barr has supposedly been flying to other countries to talk to their officials about how Trump-Russia investigation started–which almost ruins the appointment of Durham in the first place.
Here’s a recent story on Barr’s investigation:
The following includes a good summary of the bad moves Bill Barr has made, while being AG.
Gross Negligence With Regard to National Security
That’s a description I’d use to describe Trump, and the level of negligence is unreal. More evidence of that in this Wapo piece, Ambassador’s cellphone call to Trump from Kyiv restaurant was a stunning breach of security, former officials say
The Ambassador (Sondland) isn’t only to blame.
I’m almost certain people around him have told him these things, yet, he seems to continue to ignore them. This seems like gross negligence, and if he persists in doing these things, I would think this is impeachable.
I’ve had a rough week, so it was nice to get a smile like this. Snark warning for people sensitive to snark.
I would like this if we were on social media.
I hope there is missing contextual information that makes this not as sickening as it seems:
7/2/2020
The Cursed Platoon from WaPo.
and
This seems headed for a showdown.
People trying to head this off:
I am open-minded and willing to consider the possibility for good reasons for not taking away their tridents or for pardoning these soldiers, but I haven’t read Trump give any reason for this. Anyone know if he has or if there are good arguments for his actions?
Right now, Trump seems to be backing down. As I think this is good for the military, I hope this doesn’t change.
Gallagher making some pretty big accusations against the U.S. Navy.
If he’s correct there should be hell to pay in the Navy, but, to be fair, if he’s wrong–especially if these accusations are entirely baseless and spurious–he should have hell to pay.
I really tired of Trump and others making these smears and accusations with no consequences. They just keep doing it, and probably will continue unless they face meaningful consequences.
U.S. Navy Secretary Pushed Out
Undermining the above helps Russia, and other authoritarian countries
The following article discusses the importance of enforcing discipline and codes of conduct for soldiers. On some level I can understand why some may want to be lenient on soldiers, as we’re asking them to be willing to kill in order to defend the nation and its interests. They’re bound to make mistakes in the process. But if the U.S. military doesn’t have a strict code of conduct, then the soldiers and military overall can devolve into savagery and barbarism. Well, that’s my takeaway. Read for yourself.
I’m also going to include the New York Times Daily podcast, which gives a lot of the backstory on this:
If Parnas and Fruman are really connected with the Russian gov’t, I’m really wary of this. What they do and say will likely be done to hurt the U.S.
Still feel the same as above. I do not trust this guy one bit. The more eager he is the less I trust him. The guy might have information that weakened Trump politically, and I still would be reluctant to have him release this information
And our society is not well-equipped at this moment to deal with this.
I have a strong sense that McMullin is right. Many of the arguments Trump and his defenders are throwing out there are not compelling and sometimes not sound. But I get the sense they’re not throwing these arguments out not to convince people, but to sow confusion–or at least that’s where the strategy can be effective. As long as a large enough percentage of the population is confused, unsure of what to believe and then exhausted, Trump can escape.
The press should be one of the main defenses against this, but they are not doing a good job in this regard in my opinion. My sense is that some different approach to their job is required, and, for the most part, they have not really made this kind of adjustment.
Here are some quick thoughts on the nature of the problem we face now.
Some problems:
People can make up crazy lies, accusations, and conspiracy theories with little or no consequence. By lack of consequence, I’m thinking specifically of loss of credibility, social shunning. Without these consequences, these people and their ideas maintain a level of credibility it should not. Now, I believe this effect is especially true to Americans who don’t pay close attention to the news, who are largely politically apathetic. I believe this leads to confusion and exhaustion from these individuals.
I should add that I think we’re in this situation because bad actors like Trump seem to have little or no shame. If he and his supporters did, they would not do what they’re doing, or they would likely resign.
Path forward
My sense is the way out of this mess involves identifying and actively fortifying the journalists, politicians, pundits, and political organizations that rely on facts, use sound and reasonable thinking and operate in good faith. If we can identify these people and organizations in a way that this would be clear to casual news consumers, then these casual news consumers should also be able to see the key facts, and sound arguments. And if this is very clear, they should be able to clearly see the claims that are dubious or false and arguments that are unreasonable and likely given in bad faith. This can then a basis to exact some heavy price on individuals and organizations that promote crazy claims.
Because I believe this to be true, my heart sunk a little as I read this tweet:
Here’s a quote from the article that takes me back to the post above:
The journalists primary challenge is not the usual one involving digging for and verifying information and presenting it in a compelling way to citizens. In my view the bigger challenge involves
a) getting the most relevant information to casual news consumers,
b) organizing it in a way that is relatively easy to understand, not requiring a lot of time and energy, and;
c) finding a messenger that is credible and trustworthy–i.e., can stand up to charges of political bias.
Without find a way to achieve the above, the “mountain of impeachment evidence” will likely be a matter of dispute.
It just feels like mobster schtick–way to distance himself from illegal activity, creating a way to deny responsibility. But with careful scrutiny the strategem is not very effective. To me, it’s only effective if a confusing, overloaded information environment.
Thread shooting down suggestion that Trump didn’t know what Giuliani was doing:
Burisma and the Bidens
Going into this, my assumption was that the Bidens/Burisma story really had no substance. The podcast modified that view.
What I knew going in:
A. There was lots of corruption in Ukraine;
B. The chief prosecutor of Ukraine was seen as very soft on corruption;
C. U.S. policy and many Europeans wanted him to be removed;
D. Biden pressured the Ukrainian government to remove him.
E. Hunter Biden, the VP’s son, sat on the board of Burisma (a gas company?).
What I learned
A. The new prosecutor did investigate Burisma, and issued fines, but ultimately the oligarch, who I believe was in exile, was allowed to return (and be involved with the company?);
B. Anti-corruption advocates in Ukraine were not happy with this–they didn’t think the Ukrainian government was tough enough.
This last point is important. If IMF and European leaders believed the actions were woefully inadequate–essentially allowing corruption to go unpunished–then this raises at least the appearance that Bidens’ involvement led to leniency.
On some level, one could argue that this warrants further investigation. On the other hand, those who believe this warrants further investigation, but ignores Trump not divesting his businesses and using his office to promote them; not acting on Trump administration promoting Ivanka’s products; not investigating whether China approved trademarks for Ivanka’s business–they should not be taken seriously.
In a way, this reminds me of Bill Clinton talking to AG Lynch on the tarmac. We don’t know what they talked about. They claimed they talked about family matters, not the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails and server. Even if they did, this meeting was problematic because of optics. If the Ukrainian actions on Burisma wasn’t adequate, this also creates the reasonable impression that the Bidens had something to do with this.
I should say that I think it’s important to compare actions and evaluate the severity of them. What I know of the Burisma/Biden would fall be a 4-5 on a 1-10 scale, with 10 being incredibly corrupt/criminal, etc. What Trump and his family are doing, in terms of corruption is 9-10.
Finally, if there is something to the Biden-Burisma scandal, why didn’t Republicans make a big deal of this? Why didn’t DOJ investigate? Trump’s DOJ could have used proper channels doing so as well–and this would have protected the investigation from the appearance of politicization. Trump’s handling of the issue has created the strong appearance that this is completely political and not legitimate.
From the Atlantic: Heads, Trump Wins. Tails, We All Lose. by David Frum
The basic idea is that the courts rule against many of Trump’s actions this will ultimately constrain the presidency in ways that will likely harm future presidencies and our system of government overall. Why? Laws, as a way to regulate a president’s conduct and actions, can be crude and also abused via politics. Frum mentions that much of our system depended on a president to behave with a degree of honor and to be trustworthy. Trump has challenged that to a degree that the courts may render decisions that will make it harder for future presidents to function.
Of course, if the courts don’t do this, then this will enable Trump to act with impunity.
I’m not doing a good job of summarizing the article–it’s worth reading, so read it for yourself.
How do you explain the following poll results?
Here’s my take: Trump’s support is based primarily on a group with the most power and privilege feeling both under threat. They see Trump as their champion, fighting against this loss. In this battle, the ends justifies the means. Supporters will tolerate a violation of almost every principle and belief they’ve valued–in order to maintain power. And if they fail, at least, they won’t go quietly–Trump is angry expression of these changes. Generally, a group or individual with power does not give it up willingly. I feel like this is what we’re seeing play out. For Republicans who view Trump as their champion, fighting against this loss of power, on some level, I can see why they view him as better than Lincoln.
Multiple people I follow on twitter have been re-tweeting the following:
Is this such a good move? Wouldn’t it likely cause Trump to do something foolish or damaging to things that these people care about? Besides the pleasure of mocking the president, what is to be gained from promoting this?
12/4/2019
I don’t think it’s a great idea to do something that will provoke someone who could be mentally unstable and has the ability to launch nuclear missiles. It could possibly increase authoritarian behavior. (Is that the goal–to make him act so inappropriately that the American public turns against him?)
Watts also goes on to mention that in allows for plausible deniability by the Russian government.
This clip has been getting some attention:
Some comments:
I assume Speaker Pelosi took this as an insinuation that she hates Trump–and that’s what offended her. While I can understand her being peeved, the question seems valid to me.
I really liked her response, separating policy positions she disagrees with, which she implied that the election should address, from violations of the Constitution, which the Ukraine scandal has triggered. I totally agree with her. Whether one agrees or disagrees with Trump’s policies, whether one finds Trump likable or unlikable, as a person–those matters don’t warrant impeachment and removal. Trump’s actions and behaviors relating to Ukraine foreign assistance and meetings with the Ukrainian president, tying this to an announcement that would damage his political rival, does.
In the press conference, Pelosi references a Trump quote–“Article II gives me the power to do whatever I want.”
Trump also said that he has that absolute right to pardon himself.
(Professor Turley, who testified yesterday, arguing against impeachment, appears in the clip, claiming that the POTUS can pardon himself, but it would basically be a really bad thing if he did.)
More on the reporter who asked the question, and Pelosi’s own explanation:
I’m not sure if all the details above are relevant. Well, if he’s implicitly suggesting that the Pelosi and the Democrats are pursuing impeachment because they hate the POTUS, I can see why Pelosi and other Democrats don’t see this as a good faith question. But I do think the Pelosi and Democrats should explain why impeachment is not about personal animus towards Trump.
Helpful contextual details that I didn’t know from a WaPo op-ed about this incident:
This drives me crazy.
This is gross negligence. Is there any justification for this? It’s insane.
Nuts.
I’m not posting this to mock Trump.
A lot of times when Trump misspeaks, I can sort of figure out what he meant to say. It may take some work, but I can sort of get there. Not all of them indicate mental deterioration. Mind you, the statement often justify some concern. But what he says here perplexed me more than normal. The only thing I can think of is that he meant to say “abortion” in the 9th month. But he says, “baby to be born.” That seems not just a small mistake that anyone could make. He’s really confused or makes an odd error.
I haven’t read this yet, but if the head line is accurate, this is not good.
However,
These two tweets by a law professor and a former federal prosecutor make me a little queasy. My sense was Durham had a good reputation for being non-partisan professional. These tweets suggest he is not acting that way. I feel uneasy because seeing the DOJ/FBI operate in a more political, partisan way pains me. And if DOJ or FBI did that with the Trump and his campaign, that would make me feel equally uneasy and disappointed.
Another tweet:
Edit
Thread.
Edit
AG Bill Barr’s report sounds create a totally different impression of the IG report. (And I’m even more uneasy)
Barr opens with “Noting is more important than the integrity and credibility of the FBI and Department of Justice.” His actions, now and in the past, do not support this.
For example,
FBI Director, Chris Wray’s, response seems to fall in line with IG report:
Former federal prosecutors:
Regarding FBI director’s comments about the IG report:
Barr today
Attorney general sharpens attacks on FBI’s Russia probe
I don’t know what is proper or improper for an AG. But based on the little I know, and from what I’ve read and seen, at minimum Barr has created an impression that he is not acting in a non-partisan way–he has made his actions appear political.
Lavrov meeting with Trump at White House (?) today. Ukrainian President Zelensky still hasn’t gotten a meeting at the White House.
I haven’t read this, but it sounds important:
You knew Trump was going to respond with anger at this:
Others have noted how this reveals his transactional nature–I did something good for you, so you have do something good for me, regardless of any other consideration. In this case, the other considerations are Trump’s corruption and immorality. This attitude was also revealed in his outrage at Rep. Dingell.
Americans ask themselves if they want a POTUS who thinks this way. The economy is doing well, so you need to overlook my corruption and abuse of power.
The other thing that stands out. Anyone that says or does something that puts Trump in a bad light will become, in Trump’s eyes, the worst person. And I notice he will label them as part of a group that is biased against him–Obama holdovers, Never Trumpers, Liberals. These labels are often inaccurate, but it doesn’t matter to Trump. I’m pretty sure if Fox News or someone like Rush Limbaugh, Rudy Giuliani or any of his strongest supporters turn on him, the same thing will happen. If his family turns on him, I wouldn’t be surprised if he gives them the same treatment.
Calling CT a leftist publication is bizarrely unbelievable. I’ve read it for decades.
CT’s president offers an update.
https://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2019/december-web-only/trump-evangelicals-editorial-christianity-today-president.html
He will say whatever that helps him. Mueller and Comey can become Democrats or Never Trumpers. He can make up whatever he wants and so far there’s little consequences for this.
This guy said it better:
Just to add, the arguments used in the editorial are consistent with what I know of the Religious Right’s political positions. That is, the arguments are conservative, not liberal. It’s the support of Trump that violates many of the stated beliefs and principles of the Religious Right.
There is still bit of idealism within me, and maybe I’m being a sucker, but I found this podcast featuring Rep. Slotkin almost inspiring. I believed her. I hope I’m not being duped, but if I’m not, it’s politicians like her that give me hope in America.
What I’m about to say is not meant as an insult–I think Trump intellectual capacity is surprisingly low, as is his understanding of things you would expect a president to know. Here’s one of several examples:
I would put this up there with public remarks like “Trade wars are easy to win;” “Who knew health care was so complex?” and maybe even comments about how we should have taken Iraqi oil. What’s an alternate explanation is that is plausible?
My understanding is that the U.S. economy is doing well, but this is an important caveat.
Comparison: If Bernie Sanders became POTUS, and everyone got free health care, free college and childcare, etc., but taxes went up significantly or the deficit/debt did.
I didn’t read this, but I’m getting sense that anti-Semitism on the upswing. It’s awful. As far as I know, Trump has rarely or vociferously spoken out about this. He could easily tweet: ” People of every faith, ethnicity, sexual orientation, gender should be respected. There’s no place for anti-semitism in this country,” or something to that effect.